601
FXUS64 KMOB 022313
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
513 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 511 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
- STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, AND POSSIBLY LATE IN THE WEEK AS
WELL.
- A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE OVER THE GULF, AND
POSSIBLY LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 107 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS OUR AREA WILL MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY, ALLOWING LIGHT SURFACE WINDS TO SHIFT
SOUTHWESTERLY, THUS BRINGING A MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 33 TO 38 DEGREES INLAND,
AROUND 40 DEGREES CLOSER TO THE COAST, AND RANGE FROM 45 TO 50
DEGREES ALONG THE BEACHES. HIGH TEMPS ON TUESDAY WILL BE ABOUT 2
TO 7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, RANGING FROM 65 TO 70 DEGREES.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME ZONAL LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY, AND THEN SOUTHWESTERLY MIDWEEK AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES
OUR REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCES ARE NOW
INDICATING A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA DEVELOPING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA BY MIDNIGHT
TUESDAY NIGHT, AND ADVANCING EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ALABAMA THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH OUR AREA LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE AND COLD
FRONT. MOST OF THESE SHOWERS WILL BE SOUTHEAST OF THE I-65
CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY MORNING, AND THEN TAPER OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE FLORIDA COAST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF DROP IN
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT, BUT HIGHS FRIDAY WILL REBOUND INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
60S, AND RANGE FROM 65 TO 70 DEGREES OVER THE WEEKEND.
BEACH FORECAST: A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON, BRIEFLY BECOMING MODERATE TUESDAY NIGHT AS
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE OVER THE GULF, AND REMAINING MODERATE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL
RESUME THROUGH FRIDAY, BUT MAY ONCE AGAIN BECOME A MODERATE RISK
BY THE WEEKEND. /22
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 513 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
AROUND 5 KNOTS DIMINISH THIS EVENING, THEN A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW AT 10-15 KNOTS DEVELOPS ON TUESDAY. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 107 PM CST MON FEB 2 2026
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT, LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS TONIGHT BECOME A
WESTERLY ON MONDAY AND THEN SOUTHWESTERLY ON TUESDAY, WITH WINDS
INCREASING TO MODERATE OVER THE GULF TUESDAY NIGHT. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 38 68 52 60 / 0 10 80 40
PENSACOLA 42 65 55 62 / 0 10 70 70
DESTIN 45 65 55 63 / 0 10 70 80
EVERGREEN 32 67 47 55 / 0 10 90 40
WAYNESBORO 34 67 43 54 / 0 20 90 20
CAMDEN 34 65 44 53 / 0 20 90 20
CRESTVIEW 33 67 50 60 / 0 10 70 70
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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