418
FXUS64 KMOB 151930
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
130 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 130 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
- STRONG MARINE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
ALONG WITH SEAS SUBSIDING.
- HIGH SURF HEIGHTS UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET WILL IMPACT COASTAL
PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS
EVENING, WITH STRONG RIP CURRENTS CONTINUING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
LIKELY TO DEFINITE SHOWERS WITH PERHAPS A STORM OR TWO ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL ALABAMA
WILL SPREAD MAINLY EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A FEW
SHOWERS COULD SLIP SOUTH TOWARD THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY LATE
AFTERNOON, BUT NO STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED. LINGERING SHOWERS
ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN ZONES EARLY THIS EVENING WILL THEN EXIT
EAST OF THE AREA AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL THEN FOLLOW THROUGH MIDWEEK AS A SURFACE RIDGE
SETS UP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND A BROAD UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
OVER GULF AND DEEP SOUTH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
RETURN TO OUR REGION THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AS OVER-RUNNING
SETS UP ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SURFACE RIDGE
EVENTUALLY SETTING UP ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF THAT ALLOWS
SOUTHERLY WINDS TO BRING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD.
TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK WITH HIGHS MONDAY AROUND 70 DEGREES CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 80S INLAND ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER
70S ALONG THE COAST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MIDDLE 50S TONIGHT
AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL CLIMB INTO THE MIDDLE 60S BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
BEACH FORECAST: A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT FOR LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
RETURNING BACK TO A LOW RISK BY TUESDAY. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS CENTRAL AL THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US TONIGHT. ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE LOW, A WESTERLY COMPONENT IN THE WINDS WILL SEE GUSTS
UPWARDS TO AROUND 25 KTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND THERE ARE
INDICATIONS BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL LINGER A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNSET
BEFORE DECREASING. SATELLITE INDICATES CLOUDS MORE SCATTERED
ACROSS THE TERMINALS INITIALLY INTO MID-AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING
BROKEN TO OVERCAST. CIG BASES EXPECTED DOWN INTO THE LOWER END OF
MVFR CATEGORIES TONIGHT. THERE'S A SMALL CHANCE OF -SHRA BY AND
AFTER 15.21Z ENDING AFTER 16.00Z. /10
MARINE
ISSUED AT 130 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WILL SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY THIS
EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES FOR ALL MARINE ZONES THIS AFTERNOON WILL EXPIRE THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASE AND SHIFT
NORTHERLY, WITH SEAS SUBSIDING. LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW ON MONDAY WILL
SHIFT TO A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW TUESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 52 71 52 72 / 0 0 0 10
PENSACOLA 55 69 55 68 / 10 0 0 0
DESTIN 54 69 54 67 / 20 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 50 70 47 74 / 20 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 50 70 48 73 / 20 0 0 0
CAMDEN 49 67 49 72 / 10 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 51 71 48 72 / 20 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ630-
633>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ631-632-
650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ670-675.
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