056
FNUS74 KMOB 182016
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BB 8359 C610 RX...USFS- MS-MNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
216 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES RETURNING FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 55%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL
OCCASIONALLY GUST TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE SOUTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD.
FOR THURSDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 55%, 20 FT
WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 25 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY, AND DISPERSION
VALUES WILL BE GOOD.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY NIGHT. FOG MAY BRIEFLY
BECOME DENSE AT AROUND DAYBREAK, ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AREAS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1341 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....50.
LVORI...............1.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64 67 68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............78 76 75
RH..............56 60 64
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW S
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.4 4.4
MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 15
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 7
DISPERSION IDX..54 49 46
LVORI...........1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-366 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 5 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
LVORI...............6.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........62 63 70 75 83 81 88 86 82 90 88 87
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............72 68 67 66 66 65 65 66 65 66 66 65
RH..............73 81 87 90 90 93 100 97 100 97 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S SSW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 15 14 14 14 13 12 12 12
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S SSW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..11 11 11 12 12 10 10 10 10 8 8 7
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-1311 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 23
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 8 TO 10 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 59.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........84 88 76 72 68 56 29 34 30 47 44 53
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............65 66 66 70 73 75 79 79 80 81 79 77
RH..............100 100 100 93 81 76 64 64 60 58 64 71
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 10 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 15 17 20 22 24 24 24 23 22 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.4 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 15 18 20 21 23 23 23 22 21 17
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 8
DISPERSION IDX..13 14 24 35 43 55 63 63 63 62 58 57
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3
FORECASTER...96
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603092.0/MOB
.DELDT 02/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV,CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV
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