085  
FNUS74 KMOB 191011  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR J-15...EGLIN WSM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
411 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON FEBRUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AT THE BURN SITE  
WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN OCCURRING IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE  
DAY BEFORE TURNING SOUTHERLY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS TO  
25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON DISPERSION  
WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT  
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 55 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 40.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........80 66 52 45 41 76  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............67 72 77 79 79 75  
RH..............97 90 74 67 67 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 12 15 16 15 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 22 25 26 25 23  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1800 2600 3100 3100 3100  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 18 23 24 23 14  
DISPERSION IDX..14 43 51 58 54 40  
LVORI...........5 4 3 1 1 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........85 91 90  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 40  
TEMP............73 70 69  
RH..............84 93 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 26 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 700 900  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SSW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 15  
DISPERSION IDX..12 15 14  
LVORI...........4 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...7  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN PRICE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603136.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATHAN.PRICE@US.AF.MIL  
 
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