045  
FNUS74 KMOB 191143  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 396...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
543 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 103 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE BURN SITE  
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
REMAINS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS  
WILL BE GUSTY TODAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE AT THE BURN SITE.  
TRANSPORT WINDS REMAIN GENERALLY SOUTHERLY ON FRIDAY. AFTERNOON DISPERSION  
WILL BE EXCELLENT TODAY AND FAIR ON FRIDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE IN THE PRE-  
DAWN HOURS. MAX LVORI IS AN 8 IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...945-1707 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 11 TO 13 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....57 INCREASING TO 77 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 89 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 103 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 77.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........57 56 51 48 44 43 34 41  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 76 79 81 82 83 82 80  
RH..............79 71 62 56 55 53 53 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 14 14 13 13 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 26 28 28 26 25 25 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.7 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 28 28 28 25 24 18  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SSW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 13 13 13 11 11 8  
DISPERSION IDX..57 73 80 86 87 91 103 77  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
23 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-366 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....12.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 55 55 68 65 63 69 78 85 82 83 82  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 50 50 50  
TEMP............76 72 71 71 70 69 68 68 68 68 67 66  
RH..............69 81 84 87 90 93 97 97 97 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SSW SSW SSW SW SSW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 21 23 22 22 22 21 21 21 18 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 16 17 16 16 15 16 13 12 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 7 6 5 6  
DISPERSION IDX..13 13 13 15 15 14 14 13 11 9 9 8  
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 7 8 8 8  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-1067 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 38.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........76 75 77 78 74 71 67 62 58 53 49 46  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............65 64 65 67 69 72 74 76 78 78 77 75  
RH..............100 100 100 93 87 76 71 66 64 64 67 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SSW SW WSW SW S S S S S SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 17 17 16 16 15 14 13 12 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.WSW WSW SW SSW SSW SSW S S S S S SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..WSW WSW SW SSW SSW SSW S S S S S SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..11 10 12 16 16 15 14 18 22 30 37 38  
LVORI...........7 7 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...7  
REQUESTED BY...RODNEY LANDRUM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603158.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RODNEY.LANDRUM@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab AL Page
The Nexlab FL Page
The Nexlab MS Page
Main Text Page