631  
FNUS74 KMOB 201034  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MIC08...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
434 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE BURN SITE BOTH MORNINGS  
WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED BOTH AFTERNOONS. A FEW STRONG  
STORMS WITH ERRATIC, GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY REMAINS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE  
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY BOTH DAYS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE AT  
THE BURN SITE. AFTERNOON DISPERSION WILL BE GOOD TODAY AND GENERALLY GOOD  
SATURDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 22 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 29 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 59 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 64  
DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........71 75 68 64 57 52 49 48 45 49 56 61  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 40 40 40 30 30 30 60 60 60  
TEMP............69 69 70 74 77 80 81 82 83 82 81 78  
RH..............97 97 97 84 76 69 63 61 57 58 60 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW SW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 20 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 22 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 1.7 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW WSW WSW WSW W WSW W WSW WSW SW SW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 16 15 15 16 17 18 17 18 17 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW WSW WSW WSW W WSW W WSW WSW SW SW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 6  
DISPERSION IDX..13 12 27 30 44 54 60 63 66 63 61 48  
LVORI...........5 7 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 23 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-366 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........60 64 71 77 80 85 90 89 91 90 91 89  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............73 72 71 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 68  
RH..............81 84 87 90 93 90 93 97 93 97 93 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 7 7 8 7 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 20 21 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..8 8 9 9 10 11 9 10 11 11 11 12  
LVORI...........4 4 5 5 6 5 6 8 5 7 5 7  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...335-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 7  
TO 9 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 52.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 91 89 86 81 75 70 68 66 64 66 69  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 80 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............69 70 71 73 75 78 80 82 82 82 80 77  
RH..............100 97 97 93 87 76 69 65 63 63 67 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 21 20 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.9 3.5 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.4 3.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 14 17 20 21 21 21 21 20 17 15  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7  
DISPERSION IDX..16 19 26 36 45 52 56 55 52 47 56 48  
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...7  
REQUESTED BY...MATT DELANEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603228.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.DELANEY@USDA.GOV  
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