942  
FNUS74 KMOB 201205  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BB 8301 C-214 WEST...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
605 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE BURN SITE TODAY WITH  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW STRONG  
STORMS WITH ERRATIC, GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY REMAINS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE  
SOUTHWESTERLY TODAY WHILE GRADUALLY TURNING MORE WESTERLY BY SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE AT THE BURN SITE DURING THE DAY  
WHILE UP TO 18 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. AFTERNOON DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD  
TODAY AND FAIR SATURDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...335-1097 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 51.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........78 69 50 42 48  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 50 50 40  
TEMP............70 73 79 82 81  
RH..............93 84 64 55 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SW SSW SSW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 15 17 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1800 2100 3600 3500  
MIX HGT (M).....340 550 640 1100 1070  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW WSW SSW SW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 16 15  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW WSW SSW SW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 6 6 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..16 26 38 54 52  
LVORI...........5 4 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-335 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........53 68 81 89 93 93  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 10 10 20  
TEMP............76 71 70 70 70 69  
RH..............74 87 90 93 93 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE S S S SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 20 21 21 20 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 900 1000 800 800 700  
MIX HGT (M).....270 270 300 240 240 210  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE S SSW SSW SSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 16 13 12 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE S SSW SSW SSW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 7 6 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..10 12 13 12 11 7  
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 5 8  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-1067 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9  
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........88 90 81 72 69 66  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 80 80 80  
TEMP............69 71 75 79 82 81  
RH..............97 97 84 69 61 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SW SW SW WSW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 15 17 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1300 2400 3500 2800 2400  
MIX HGT (M).....210 400 730 1070 850 730  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SW SW WSW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 14 14 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SW SW WSW W W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 6 6 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..12 19 29 37 33 27  
LVORI...........7 5 4 3 1 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...7  
REQUESTED BY...JODY ROGERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603246.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.ROGERS@USDA.GOV  
 
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