659
FXUS64 KMOB 091907
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
207 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 207 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
- STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
- PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS.
- NEAR GALE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS AND FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS
POSSIBLE OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 207 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
TWO PERIODS OF POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL WEATHER ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE FIRST INSTANCE WILL OCCUR FROM THE
MID-AFTERNOON TODAY INTO EARLY EVENING, WITH THE POTENTIAL OF
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS, MAINLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THE SECOND
INSTANCE WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH INCREASING BEACH
AND MARINE HAZARDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, THOUGH THE DETAILS OF THE SEVERE
IMPACTS REMAINS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.
SYNOPSIS...THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERNS BETWEEN THE MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT GOING INTO MIDWEEK AS AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHERN MEXICO AROUND NOON WEDNESDAY MOVES
EASTWARD OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER REGION LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE NORTHWEST. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT ON THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS
THE REGION. THIS FRONT WILL ALSO USHER IN A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER
AIRMASS HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S INLAND TO NEAR 70 ALONG
THE COAST ON THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE
LOWER 40S INLAND TO UPPER 40S ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES THEN QUICKLY WARM BACK INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S
BY THE WEEKEND.
BEACH FORECAST: A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT, BRIEFLY BECOMING MODERATE AND THEN HIGH WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL FOLLOW THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BRINGING LOCAL
DROPS TO LOW END MVFR/IFR LEVELS. THE GREATEST COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND
NORTH. TIMING IS EXPECTED TO BE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
AFTER MIDNIGHT, FOG DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. AREA TAF SITES WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED AFTER 08Z, WITH
THE FOG QUICKLY MIXING OUT AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOUTHERLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE
FORECAST. /16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 207 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT AND GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS WINDS TURN
NORTHERLY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. UNTIL THEN, A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, FOLLOWED BY
A MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WEDNESDAY EVENING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. PERIODS OF DENSE FOG REMAIN POSSIBLE NEAR THE COASTLINE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 66 83 66 81 / 10 0 0 20
PENSACOLA 67 78 67 78 / 10 0 0 10
DESTIN 65 75 66 76 / 10 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 63 85 62 85 / 20 10 0 10
WAYNESBORO 65 84 66 84 / 20 10 0 30
CAMDEN 64 84 64 84 / 20 10 0 10
CRESTVIEW 63 83 62 83 / 10 0 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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