832
FXUS64 KMOB 101738
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1238 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
- SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING.
- PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS.
- NEAR GALE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS AND FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS
POSSIBLE OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL AGAIN DEVELOP TONIGHT. TUESDAY
WILL BE DRY AND WARM AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA IN
ADVANCE OF A DIGGING TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES. AS THIS
TROUGH EJECTS EASTWARD WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT, IT WILL
SEND A COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. INCREASING INSTABILITY
AND DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE
FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THERE IS CURRENTLY A MARGINAL
TO SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE AREA WED NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL FOLLOW IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPS WILL WARM
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD
FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW AFTERNOON
RAINSHOWERS MAY POP UP, BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT OPERATIONS.
AFTER MIDNIGHT, FOG DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
AREA TAF SITES WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED AFTER 08Z, WITH DROPS LIFR OR
LOWER POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. THE FOG IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY MIX OUT
AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOUTHERLY
LESS THAN 10 KNOTS OVERNIGHT, RISING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS BY THE END OF
THE FORECAST.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON,
FOLLOWED BY A MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WEDNESDAY EVENING AHEAD OF
A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. PERIODS OF DENSE
FOG REMAIN POSSIBLE NEAR THE COASTLINE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS.
SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT AND GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS WINDS TURN NORTHERLY IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 82 67 82 55 / 10 0 30 90
PENSACOLA 77 67 78 60 / 0 0 10 90
DESTIN 75 65 75 61 / 0 0 10 80
EVERGREEN 86 63 84 53 / 10 0 0 90
WAYNESBORO 84 67 83 49 / 20 0 30 90
CAMDEN 84 65 83 50 / 10 0 10 90
CRESTVIEW 83 63 82 57 / 0 0 10 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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