079  
FNUS74 KMOB 200253  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT ROCK CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
953 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 CDT ON MARCH 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 78 EXPECTED FRIDAY OVER THE BURN  
AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
FOR FRIDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR  
35%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO  
WESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR SATURDAY, THE  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 40%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE  
UP TO NEAR 15 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY WEST-  
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE  
GENERALLY GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3.  
LVORI...............3 BECOMING 9.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 1 2 0 0 1 0 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 53 52 50 49 49 47 47  
RH..............74 77 80 89 93 93 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 7 6 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 9 9  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1615 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO  
13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST AROUND 2 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 78.  
LVORI...............9 BECOMING 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 1 1 1 3 6 12 16 14 7 7 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 47 51 57 63 70 74 77 79 80 80 79  
RH..............100 100 93 86 78 61 50 40 36 35 35 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW SW WSW WSW WSW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 5 6 6 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 5 6 7 8 10 12 12 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.5 3.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W WSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 3 5 3 3 6 6 7 9 10 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W WSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 1 2 1 1 3 3 3 4 4 6  
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 4 4 5 11 25 37 44 57 63 78  
LVORI...........9 9 6 6 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....93 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............1 BECOMING 7.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 5 3 5 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............77 72 66 63 61 61 60 58 57 56 56 55  
RH..............39 46 58 65 72 72 78 83 86 93 93 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 13 12 12 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 12 12 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..93 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1524 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 64.  
LVORI...............9 BECOMING 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........6 16 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............54 68 82  
RH..............100 76 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW WSW WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2000 4200  
MIX HGT (M).....120 610 1280  
TRANSP WIND DIR.WSW W WSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 14 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..WSW W WSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 6 4  
DISPERSION IDX..4 36 52  
LVORI...........9 3 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...22  
REQUESTED BY...JODIE PFEIFER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2606681.0/MOB  
.DELDT 03/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV,ASHLEY.SCHROEDER@USDA.GOV  
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