448  
FNUS74 KMOB 200910  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT ROCK CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
410 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON MARCH 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 85 EXPECTED SATURDAY OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
FOR TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR  
30%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO  
WESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD. FOR  
SATURDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 35%, 20 FT WIND  
GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY  
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE  
GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1463 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO  
10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST AROUND 2 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 57.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 6 9 19 11 19 27 16 20 5 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 48 51 58 65 70 73 78 78 79 80 78  
RH..............93 93 89 75 60 49 41 34 34 32 31 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW WSW WSW SSW S S SSW SSW SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 6 7 9 10 12 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 2.4 3.5 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W WSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 3 5 3 5 6 6 6 7 9 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W WSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 1 2 1 2 3 3 3 3 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 3 4 5 14 24 32 33 43 51 57  
LVORI...........7 6 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1433 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10  
TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....57 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 5 2 4 1 2 2 0 1 1 3 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 71 66 63 61 60 58 58 57 55 55 55  
RH..............38 44 54 65 70 72 77 77 80 86 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..57 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 6  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1707 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 84.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 8 3 4 4 4 3 3 8 12 17 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 54 56 62 68 72 76 80 81 82 84 81  
RH..............93 96 90 81 73 64 54 45 42 41 38 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 12 13 14 15 15 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.5 4.2 5.1 5.6 5.6 5.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W WSW W W W W WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 14 14 14 13 13 14 14 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..W WSW W W W W WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..5 10 10 19 35 47 55 59 72 83 85 83  
LVORI...........6 6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...JODIE PFEIFER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2606681.1/MOB  
.DELDT 03/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV,ASHLEY.SCHROEDER@USDA.GOV  
 
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