220
FXUS64 KMOB 302345
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
645 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 637 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
- HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A MODERATE
TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
NOW THROUGH MONDAY...
AN UPPER RIDGE STRETCHING NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST FROM OVER THE
GULF SHIFTS EAST TO OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC INTO TUESDAY AS A SERIES
OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE EAST OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS. THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE SOUTHEAST TO
MAINTAIN A SURFACE RIDGE, WHICH STRETCHES WEST OVER THE SOUTHEAST.
THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE GULF MOISTURE INLAND, WITH
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEAST SEEING THE MOST CONTINUOUS INFLUX OF MOISTURE. THE FURTHER
EAST ONE GOES OVER THE SOUTHEAST, INCREASING SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
UPPER RIDGE DECREASES THE MOISTURE INFLUX, WITH THE RESULT BEING,
THAT AS RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY ON, THE BEST CHANCE IS
EXPECTED TO BE OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE
INCREASING MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW
FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS. GULF NEARSHORE WATER
TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ENOUGH (UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70) THAT SEA FOG
IS NOT AN ISSUE.
A STRONG UPPER LOW PASSES NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA, WITH A WEAKER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE SOUTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT, USHERING IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS AND THE PERIOD
OF BETTER RAIN CHANCES ENDING MONDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES RISE TO WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS LAST THROUGH
SATURDAY, TOPPING OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 80S ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-
10, UPPER 70S SOUTH TO THE COAST. SUNDAY IS A TRANSITIONAL DAY AS
COOLER AIR MOVES OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. BY MONDAY,
HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND OR A BIT BELOW SEASONAL NORMS ARE
ADVERTISED BY GUIDANCE (70-75). LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID
60S ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COMING FRONTAL PASSAGE, LOW TO MID 50S
BEHIND FOR MONDAY NIGHT.
MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST TO EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEK, KEEPING THE SWELL COMPONENT HIGH IN THE RIP RISK EQUATION.
TIDAL RANGE BEGINS TO INCREASE LATER IN THE WEEK, HELPING WITH THE
RIP RISK. THE RESULT IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY DROPPING
INTO A MODERATE FOR A FEW DAYS, THEN RISING BACK TO HIGH FOR THE
COMING WEEKEND.
/16
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 637 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY EVENING AT ALL
TERMINALS, EXCEPT JKA WHICH CURRENTLY HAS IFR CEILINGS. MVFR
CEILINGS WILL RETURN LATE THIS EVENING AS THE WINDS BECOME LIGHT.
IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE PRE-DAWN
HOURS WITH THE MAIN CONCERN FOR IFR CONDITIONS EAST OF I-65.
CONDITIONS IMPROVE SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK ON TUESDAY. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEK. NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AS CONVECTION RETURNS TO
AREA WATERS.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 64 81 64 81 / 10 60 20 60
PENSACOLA 65 76 66 77 / 0 40 20 40
DESTIN 63 74 65 75 / 0 30 10 30
EVERGREEN 58 83 61 84 / 0 40 10 40
WAYNESBORO 61 82 63 82 / 0 60 10 60
CAMDEN 58 82 61 81 / 0 40 10 50
CRESTVIEW 58 82 61 83 / 0 40 10 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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