700
FXUS64 KMOB 180404
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1104 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
- PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TREND WARMER THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH INCREASINGLY HUMID CONDITIONS. HEAT INDICES WILL
CLIMB INTO LOW TO MID 90S BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS GENERALLY PREVAIL FOR MOST AREAS TODAY
OUTSIDE OF PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM OVER THE INTERIOR
THIS AFTERNOON, BEST CHANCES NEAR THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. RAIN
CHANCES GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO MID AND LATE WEEK AS UPPER RIDGING
WEAKENS AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WORKS ITS WAY INTO THE AREA
ALONG WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVES. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
GENERATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
EACH DAY STARTING WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO LOOK LIKE
THEY WILL BE BEST THIS WEEKEND AS A WEAK UPPER TROUGH PUSHES
ACROSS THE REGION. OVERALL FOR THOSE WHO SEE STORMS IT WILL BE A
BENEFICIAL RAINFALL TO CONTINUE CHIPPING AWAY AT OUR ONGOING
DROUGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. WE WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME PATCHY
FOG ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH DAYBREAK THIS MORNING AND
AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING. THE BETTER SIGNAL FOR FOG, SOME LOCALLY
DENSE, APPEARS TO BE TUESDAY MORNING. FOG WILL GENERALLY LIFT
PRETTY QUICKLY AFTER DAYBREAK.
OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ON BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. HIGHS GENERALLY FALL IN THE 85 TO 90 RANGE,
WARMEST WEDNESDAY WHERE SOME SPOTS ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE INTO
SOUTH-CENTRAL AL MAKE IT TO THE LOWER 90'S. LOWS WARM WITH TIME
FROM UPPER 50'S TO MIDDLE 60'S THIS MORNING TO MIDDLE 60'S TO
LOWER 70'S BY MID WEEK. THE RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS MODERATE
TODAY, BECOMING HIGH TUESDAY BEFORE DROPPING BACK TO A LOW TO
MODERATE RISK WEDNESDAY INTO LATE WEEK. MM/25
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT WILL
GRADUALLY GIVE WAY TO MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS LATE OVERNIGHT INTO
DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. THESE CEILINGS SHOULD LIFT FAIRLY QUICKLY
AFTER DAYBREAK, WITH THE AREA RETURNING TO VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY BY
MID-MORNING. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 5 KNOTS TONIGHT, INCREASING TO AROUND 10 KNOTS GUSTING 15
TO 20 KNOTS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1156 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THURSDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD SLIGHTLY BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY
THEN DIMINISH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 84 68 86 70 / 0 0 20 0
PENSACOLA 82 71 83 71 / 0 0 10 0
DESTIN 81 71 82 71 / 0 0 10 0
EVERGREEN 88 62 89 65 / 0 0 20 0
WAYNESBORO 87 65 88 69 / 0 0 20 0
CAMDEN 86 63 88 67 / 0 0 30 0
CRESTVIEW 88 64 89 65 / 0 0 20 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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