182
FXUS64 KMOB 190420
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1120 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREA BEACHES
TODAY.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- LOCALIZED PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING AND AGAIN
LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE TODAY MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. THURSDAY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES SHIFT WEST OF I-65, BECOMING SCATTERED TO LOCALLY
NUMEROUS WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR FRIDAY. BEST CHANCES FRIDAY
WILL LIKELY REMAIN CONFINED TO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND, RAIN CHANCES
REMAIN ELEVATED AS A SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVES ROUND THE NORTHERN
PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGING WITH SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT
THROUGH THIS MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH A FEW SPOTS
POTENTIALLY SEEING LOCALLY DENSE FOG. BETTER CHANCES FOR FOG
APPEAR TO BE WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE AREA. ANY FOG WILL
DEVELOP LATE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE LIFTING FAIRLY
QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE.
OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ON BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGHS GENERALLY FALL IN
THE 85 TO 90 RANGE, WITH SOME LOCALIZED LOWER 90'S POSSIBLE ANY
GIVEN DAY. LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 60'S TO LOWER 70'S FOR
MOST LOCATIONS EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS TODAY BECOMES A MODERATE RISK WEDNESDAY. A LOW TO
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
MM/25
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY GENERALLY PREVAILS ACROSS THE AREA WITH SOME
SPOTS NEARER THE COAST STILL DEALING WITH A BROKEN MVFR CEILING
FROM A CUMULUS FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING. VFR
FLIGHT CATEGORY SHOULD RETURN FOR ALL AREAS NEAR OR SHORTLY AFTER
SUNSET UNTIL WE SEE MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS RETURN LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THESE SHOULD LIFT FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER
DAYBREAK, WITH MOST LOCATIONS RETURNING BACK TO VFR BY MID
MORNING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO
10 KNOTS THROUGH TUESDAY, RELAXING TO BELOW 5 KNOTS DURING THE
NIGHT TONIGHT. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH SATURDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD SLIGHTLY THROUGH TONIGHT THEN
DIMINISH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 87 71 87 70 / 10 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 85 72 84 72 / 10 10 0 0
DESTIN 83 71 83 71 / 10 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 89 66 91 67 / 30 10 20 10
WAYNESBORO 88 71 90 70 / 10 0 10 10
CAMDEN 88 68 89 69 / 30 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 89 66 91 67 / 20 10 20 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM 7 AM CDT TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM 7 AM CDT TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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