039  
FNUS74 KMOB 201015  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 8301 SOUTH...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
515 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN TODAY AND A 60%  
CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES WILL RANGE AROUND 55% THIS AFTERNOON WITH TRANSPORT WINDS  
MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY. AFTERNOON DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD. FOR THURSDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUE WILL BE AROUND 65%. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY  
SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE  
GENERALLY GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED EITHER  
NIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...701-1372 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 43 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........79 62 51 49 61  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 20 30  
TEMP............76 83 87 88 87  
RH..............87 67 57 55 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 10 12 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 3300 4300 3800 4200  
MIX HGT (M).....700 1010 1310 1160 1280  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..28 42 43 37 40  
LVORI...........4 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM. PATCHY FOG AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1280 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 1 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....39 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........62 71 66 49 53 48  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RN/FG  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 10 10 20  
TEMP............85 77 74 72 72 71  
RH..............61 82 87 93 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 1 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 6 5 3 2 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....4200 500 500 500 400 400  
MIX HGT (M).....1280 150 150 150 120 120  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SSW SSW S SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 6 6 5 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..S SW SSW SSW S SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 3 2 2  
DISPERSION IDX..39 3 2 3 2 2  
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 7 7  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1615 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 1 TO 5 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO AROUND  
6 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 60.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........60 67 65 71 57 59  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RN/FG RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 40 60 60  
TEMP............71 72 79 84 85 84  
RH..............90 93 79 67 65 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SSE SSE SSE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 2 5 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 7 12 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 2400 3900 5300 4200  
MIX HGT (M).....120 270 730 1190 1620 1280  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 8 9 12 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 2 4 4 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..2 5 22 33 52 44  
LVORI...........7 6 3 3 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...8  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614081.0/MOB  
.DELDT 05/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
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