253
FXUS64 KMOB 261724
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1224 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
- SUMMERTIME HEAT RETURNS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HEAT ADVISORIES BECOME POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA IN
THE COMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1055 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
A WEAK UPPER TROF OVER THE FORECAST REGION MOVES OFF TO THE EAST
ON FRIDAY WHILE A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA
BECOMES INCREASINGLY DIFFUSE. HAVE OPTED TO CONTINUE WITH MAINLY
CHANCE TO GOOD CHANCE POPS ON FRIDAY PRIMARILY EAST OF I-65. AN
UPPER RIDGE OVER TEXAS AND THE FAR WESTERN ATLANTIC EXPANDS TO
ENCOMPASS THE FORECAST REGION FRIDAY NIGHT THEN STEADILY AMPLIFIES
INTO A LARGE UPPER RIDGE OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN STATES BY
SUNDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE PERSISTS ON MONDAY, THEN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES LEAD TO A SHORTWAVE TROF FORMING OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA MONDAY NIGHT WHICH LOOKS TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST GULF TOWARDS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY GOING
INTO MIDWEEK. AM EXPECTING DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FROM FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THEN POPS INCREASE TO CHANCE TO LIKELY
BY TUESDAY WITH MAINLY CHANCE POPS ON WEDNESDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE
TROF MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S THEN GRADUALLY TREND TO
THE MID 90S AREAWIDE BY MONDAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100-105 ARE
EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HEAT INDEX
VALUES THEN TREND TO 105-110 ON MONDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI, SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE WHERE A HEAT ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BECOME NECESSARY.
HEAT INDEX VALUES THEN TREND A BIT LOWER THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
DAYTIME HIGHS MODERATE A BIT TO THE LOWER 90S. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT
RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S WELL INLAND TO NEAR 80 AT THE COAST WITH
SIMILAR VALUES FOLLOWING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A LOW RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY CONTINUES TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REMAIN
CONFINED PRIMARILY EAST OF I-65 THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
EVENING, POTENTIALLY RESULTING IN TEMPORARY REDUCTIONS TO FLIGHT
CATEGORY. WINDS REMAIN GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST NEAR OR LESS
THAN 5 KNOTS THROUGH TONIGHT, INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS LATE
SATURDAY MORNING. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 246 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT, BECOMING A DIURNAL PATTERN SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LIGHT
ONSHORE FLOW DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW
EACH NIGHT. A GENERAL LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
MIDWEEK. /98
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 92 75 94 / 0 10 0 0
PENSACOLA 79 92 78 93 / 10 10 0 0
DESTIN 80 90 79 91 / 10 10 0 0
EVERGREEN 73 93 73 94 / 10 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 75 94 75 95 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 73 91 74 91 / 10 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 74 94 74 96 / 10 10 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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