868  
FXUS64 KMOB 010526  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
1226 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1223 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026  
 
- A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS,  
HEAVY RAINFALL, AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.  
 
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR  
ALL AREA BEACHES.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026  
 
A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TODAY HELPING  
A CARVE OUT A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN STATES. THIS WILL SEND A  
COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE AREA LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE  
FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL ALONG THE I-65 CORRIDOR ON SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON BEFORE BEING PUSHED EAST ON MONDAY. AS THE TROUGH AND  
FRONT MOVE INTO THE AREA, THE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BE PUSHED  
EASTWARD TODAY WITH SOME DRIER AIR SLOWLY MOVING INTO NORTHWEST  
AREA. AS A RESULT, THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MAINLY EAST OF  
I-65. AS THE FRONT MOVES IN OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY, SCATTERED POPS  
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BEFORE MOVING EAST OF I-65  
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS  
AND SMALL HAIL. HOWEVER THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY  
RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. A DRIER AIRMASS MOVES ACROSS THE  
ENTIRE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS  
BACK INTO THE AREA, RESULTING IN MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH  
MIDWEEK. MOISTURE LEVELS RETURN LATE IN THE WEEK WITH INCREASING  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. /13  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026  
 
ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT OVER EASTERN PORTIONS  
OF THE AREA, THEN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ON  
SATURDAY MAINLY ALONG/EAST OF THE ALABAMA/MOBILE RIVERS. MVFR  
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS, AND SOME  
PATCHY OVERNIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER INTERIOR AREAS AS WELL.  
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY 5-10 KNOTS  
ON SATURDAY, POTENTIALLY 10-15 KNOTS NEAR THE COAST. /29  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 136 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2026  
 
LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS BECOMES A MODERATE TO  
OCCASIONALLY STRONG WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FOR SATURDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING ON MONDAY. SCATTERED TO  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS BECOME POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE WEEK,  
WITH BEST CHANCES THIS WEEKEND. /16  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MOBILE 91 75 91 72 / 30 40 40 10  
PENSACOLA 89 78 89 76 / 40 60 70 30  
DESTIN 88 78 88 78 / 70 70 90 50  
EVERGREEN 89 72 90 70 / 40 50 40 20  
WAYNESBORO 92 73 92 70 / 30 40 10 0  
CAMDEN 88 72 89 70 / 40 50 20 10  
CRESTVIEW 88 74 89 72 / 70 60 70 30  
 
 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY  
NIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.  
 
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY  
NIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.  
 
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
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