468
FXUS64 KMOB 261116
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
616 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER MOST OF THE MARINE AREA THIS
MORNING, POTENTIALLY RETURNING MID TO LATE WEEK.
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR BEACH AREAS TODAY,
AND POTENTIALLY AGAIN THURSDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
ANOTHER PLEASANT, SEASONABLY MILD DAY IS ON TAP ACROSS THE AREA.
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK SO NO UPDATES WERE
NECESSARY. /73
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THIS
WEEK. HIGHS REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70'S TODAY, WITH UPPER
70'S TO LOWER 80'S BECOMING COMMON THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
OVERNIGHT LOWS STAY JUST BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, WITH
MIDDLE TO UPPER 40'S OVER THE INTERIOR AND LOWER 50'S NEARER THE
COAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. LOWS MORE NOTICEABLY WARM TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH MIDDLE AND UPPER 50'S OVER
THE INTERIOR AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 60'S NEAR THE COAST.
UPPER RIDGING OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY GIVES WAY TO SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WEDNESDAY. AFTER THIS, RIDGING WILL ONCE AGAIN ATTEMPT
TO BUILD IN AS WE HEAD INTO LATE WEEK BEFORE A MORE PRONOUNCED
TROUGH APPROACHES THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL
BEGIN ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEEK USHERING IN WELL ABOVE NORMAL
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AND AMPLE MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. SOME
SOLUTIONS ARE A BIT INTRIGUING WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED SOUTHERN
STREAM SHORTWAVE THAT MIGHT TRY TO BRING A SEMI-FAVORABLE OVERLAP
OF SHEAR AND CAPE TO THE REGION, ALTHOUGH THIS IS A BIT OF AN
OUTLIER SOLUTION AT THIS POINT. REGARDLESS, RAIN CHANCES ARE GOING
TO INCREASE THIS WEEKEND WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES TODAY, TAPERING TO A MODERATE RISK
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE POTENTIALLY INCREASING ONCE AGAIN TO
A HIGH RISK THURSDAY. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS MAY
INCREASE CLOSER TO THE COAST THIS MORNING, WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
KTS, BEFORE DIMINISHING NEAR SUNSET. OTHERWISE, EXPECT CLEAR
SKIES AND WINDS BELOW 10 KTS. /73
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS PREVAIL THIS MORNING, THEN
DIMINISHING TO A MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THIS AFTERNOON. THE
OFFSHORE FLOW BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH A
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW FOLLOWING FOR
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH 1PM TODAY FOR ALL THE OPEN GULF WATERS. ADDITIONAL
ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER THIS WEEK FOR THE OPEN GULF
WATERS. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 78 52 79 51 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 78 57 79 58 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 78 58 80 61 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 78 43 80 45 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 78 45 80 45 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 76 44 79 45 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 78 45 81 48 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ650-
655-670-675.
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