923
AXNT20 KNHC 130633 CCA
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0615 UTC MON JAN 13 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF MEXICO, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0550 UTC.
CORRECTION FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA SECTION
..SPECIAL FEATURES
..ATLANTIC OCEAN GALE-FORCE WIND WARNING
A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 31N47W, TO 29N50W 26N60W 24N70W
24N73W. THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY, AND IT CONTINUES FROM
24N73W, THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 25N84W. THE FRONT IS A
WARM FRONT, FROM 24N83W, TO A GULF OF MEXICO 28N94W 1011 MB LOW
PRESSURE CENTER. THE EARLIER GALE-FORCE WIND CONDITIONS WILL BE
ENDING SOON. EXPECT FOR THE NEXT 18 HOURS OR SO: STRONG TO NEAR
GALE-FORCE SW TO W WINDS, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, FROM 27N
NORTHWARD BETWEEN 39W AND 51W; STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE W TO NW
WINDS, AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS, FROM 27N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 48W
AND 58W; WINDS 20 KNOTS, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN NW
SWELL, FROM 07N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 35W AND 58W. THE 24-HOUR
RAINFALL TOTALS IN INCHES, FOR THE PERIOD THAT ENDED AT 13/0000
UTC, ARE:
0.18 IN BERMUDA. THIS INFORMATION IS FROM THE PAN AMERICAN
TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES/MIATPTPAN.
..ATLANTIC OCEAN SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT
LARGE LONG-PERIOD W TO NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE WESTERN SECTIONS AND IN THE CENTRAL
SECTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 26N NORTHWARD BETWEEN 35W AND
66W. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE 12 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS WILL BE
APPROACHING 20N/21N THIS EVENING. THE SEA HEIGHTS WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD, AND THEN THEY WILL BEGIN TO DECAY, WITH TIME, DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
PLEASE, REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST, THAT IS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, AT THE WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFAT2.SHTML, FOR MORE DETAILS
ABOUT EACH SITUATION.
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL PLAINS OF LIBERIA
CLOSE TO 05N09W, TO 05N12W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 05N12W, TO
02N23W 02N31W. PRECIPITATION: WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 07N SOUTHWARD FROM 26W
EASTWARD. SIMILAR PRECIPITATION IS FROM 04N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 35W
AND SOUTH AMERICA.
GULF OF MEXICO...
A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CLOSE TO 28N94W. A WARM FRONT
EXTENDS FROM THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER, TO 25N84W. A STATIONARY
FRONT CONTINUES FROM 25N84W, THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA, TO
24N73W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTER TO 21N97W.
EXPECT STRONG E TO SE WINDS FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 86W AND 89W.
SLIGHT SEAS COVER THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. MODERATE TO FRESH
CYCLONIC WIND FLOW IS FROM 25N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL AND 94W.
A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NW GULF WILL LIFT NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK, DRAGGING A COLD FRONT INTO
SOUTHERN GULF THROUGH TUE NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND
MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT, POSSIBLY REACHING
NEAR-GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF VERACRUZ MON NIGHT. THE FRONT
WILL STALL AND BECOME DIFFUSE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF THROUGH MID-
WEEK. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH THU AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE SOUTHWESTERN END OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN SURFACE TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH 15N60W, BETWEEN DOMINICA AND MARTINIQUE, TO 15N62W.
PRECIPITATION: BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS, AND
RAINSHOWERS, ARE IN THE AREA THAT IS BOUNDED BY THE POINTS
12N70W 12N60W 20N46W 20N63W 12N70W.
BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS, AND RAINSHOWERS, ARE
FROM 16N NORTHWARD FROM 80W WESTWARD, IN THE NW CORNER OF THE
AREA.
STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE NE TO E WINDS ARE FROM 14N SOUTHWARD
BETWEEN 70W AND 76W, INCLUDING IN THE GULF OF VENEZUELA.
MODERATE SEA HEIGHTS THAT RANGE FROM 6 FEET TO 7 FEET ARE FROM
15N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 74W AND 80W. FRESH NE WINDS ARE ELSEWHERE
FROM 18N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. MOSTLY MODERATE TO SOME
FRESH NE TO E WINDS, AND SLIGHT SEAS, COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
CARIBBEAN SEA.
THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 09N/10N BETWEEN 74W IN COLOMBIA, AND
COSTA RICA, INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN.
LARGE, LONG-PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELL MOVING THROUGH THE ATLANTIC
PASSAGES INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST
OF THE LEEWARD AND WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY MON. MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS OVER
THE EASTERN AND SOUTH- CENTRAL CARIBBEAN, WITH STRONG WINDS
PULSING OFF COLOMBIA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
PLEASE, REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION, FOR DETAILS ABOUT
THE GALE-FORCE WIND WARNING, AND THE SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT.
A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N34W 26N40W 20N51W, TO THE ISLANDS OF
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN DOMINICA AND MARTINIQUE, TO
15N62W. PRECIPITATION: ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG IS
WITHIN 240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE TROUGH FROM 23N TO
30N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG IS WITHIN 30 NM
TO 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH FROM 30N TO 31N.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 28N55W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA WILL
STALL ALONG ROUGHLY 21N LATE TONIGHT INTO MON WHERE IT WILL
DISSIPATE TUE. WINDS WILL DECREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE BASIN INTO MON. LARGE SWELL EAST OF 72W WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
WEST OF 60W THROUGH LATE TUE. A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WATERS OFF NORTHEAST FLORIDA TUE, AND REACH FROM BERMUDA TO
SOUTH FLORIDA WED, BEFORE STALLING ALONG 22N THROUGH THU. ANOTHER
ROUND OF LARGE, LONG-PERIOD NW TO N SWELL WILL FOLLOW THE
REINFORCING FRONT OVER THE WATERS EAST OF 75W THU, AND SHIFT TO
EAST OF 55W BY LATE FRI.
MT/AL
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