776
AXNT20 KNHC 220830
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1215 UTC SAT MAR 22 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF AMERICA, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
CARIBBEAN GALE WARNING: HIGH PRESSURE N OF AREA COMBINED WITH
THE COLOMBIAN LOW WILL SUPPORTING PULSING WINDS TO GALE FORCE
OFFSHORE OF COLOMBIA EACH NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING THROUGH MON
NIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO NEAR 14 FT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT THE WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFAT2.SHTML, FOR MORE DETAILS.
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH ENTERS THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THE COAST OF AFRICA
NEAR 13N16W TO 02N25W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 02N25W TO 00N50W.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 02N TO 05N BETWEEN 15W
AND 25W, AND FROM 00N TO 04N BETWEEN 25W AND 50W.
..GULF OF AMERICA
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS ACROSS THE BASIN, ANCHORED BY A 1022 MB
LOCATED OVER THE NE GULF. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH WINDS ARE OVER
THE GULF WATERS W OF 90W, WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 205 FT RANGE.
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 2-3 FT, ARE IN THE VICINITY OF
THE HIGH CENTER. GENTLE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-6 FT ARE OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SUPPORT MODERATE
TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF,
AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE EASTERN BASIN INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
AND MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NIGHTLY THROUGH SUN, SUPPORTING
PULSES OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER ADJACENT WATERS. THE NEXT
COLD FRONT MAY ENTER THE NORTHWESTERN BASIN MON, BUT WILL LIKELY
DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF BY TUE.
..CARIBBEAN SEA
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT OFFSHORE COLOMBIA. PLEASE, REFER TO
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
OUTSIDE OF THE GALE AREA, FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BASIN E OF 80W, WITH MODERATE SEAS.
MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS ARE NOTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
WITH SLIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE SEAS.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG E TO NE WINDS OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA WILL PULSE TO GALE FORCE OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA EACH NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NE WINDS WILL PULSE IN THE WINDWARD
PASSAGE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS FROM SUN NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.
..ATLANTIC OCEAN
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N60W TO 25N70W, THEN BECOMES
STATIONARY TO CENTRAL CUBA. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE N OF 28N
ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT. ROUGH SEAS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT AND N
OF 26N. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN. FRESH
TO STRONG WINDS, AND ROUGH SEAS, ARE E OF 23W TO THE COAST OF
AFRICA FROM 12N TO 25N. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND MODERATE
SEAS, GENERALLY PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST WEST OF 55W, ROUGH SEAS FOLLOWING THE FRONT WILL
SUBSIDE TO MODERATE BY LATE TODAY. THE STATIONARY PORTION OF THE
FRONT WILL DISSIPATE WHILE THE COLD FRONT SHIFTS EAST OF 55W LATE
TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC ALONG 30N. THIS PATTERN WILL SUPPORT GENTLE
BREEZES AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS NORTH OF 22N INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD MON ENABLING A
WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS MAY PULSE OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA LATE
SUN THROUGH TUE.
AL
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