631
AXNT20 KNHC 240830
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1215 UTC MON MAR 24 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF AMERICA, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
CARIBBEAN GALE WARNING: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN AN ATLANTIC
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND THE COLOMBIAN LOW IS SUPPORTING STRONG TO
GALE FORCE WINDS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA, WHERE SEAS ARE
PEAKING NEAR 14 FT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH TODAY. ANOTHER
PULSE OF GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OFFSHORE OF COLOMBIA
TONIGHT, WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE TONIGHT IN THE AREA OF
STRONGEST WINDS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE TUESDAY
MORNING, WITH STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS THEN PULSING OFF
COLOMBIA THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT THE WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFAT2.SHTML, FOR MORE DETAILS.
GALE WARNING E OF 35W: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
LOCATED NEAR THE AZORES AND LOWER PRESSURES IN NW AFRICA SUPPORTS
NEAR GALE FORCE NE TO N WINDS IN THE AGADIR MARINE ZONE OF METEO-
FRANCE. WINDS OVER THESE WATERS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO GALE-
FORCE TODAY AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 10 TO 13 FT DURING THIS PERIOD.
FOR MORE DETAILS, REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
LISTED ON THEIR WEBSITE HTTPS://WWMIWS.WMO.INT
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH REACHES THE ATLANTIC NEAR 08N12W AND CONTINUES
SOUTHWARD TO 01N29W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 01N29W TO COASTAL
BRAZIL NEAR 02S40W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM THE EQUATOR TO 06N BETWEEN 08W AND 23W.
..GULF OF AMERICA
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SW GULF JUST WEST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE FEATURES IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS NW OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. SEAS OF 4-5 FT
ARE NOTED OVER THESE WATERS. OVER THE NE GULF, LIGHT WINDS AND
SEAS OF 2 FT OR LESS PREVAIL. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS
OF 2-4 FT ARE ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF,
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SE WINDS OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF, AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE
EASTERN BASIN INTO MID-WEEK. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NIGHTLY
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK, SUPPORTING PULSES OF FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS OVER ADJACENT WATERS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL SKIRT
THE NE GULF WITH LITTLE IMPACT TONIGHT INTO TUE. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING INTO THE BASIN IN ITS WAKE WILL LEAD TO MODERATE TO FRESH
SE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ACROSS THE NW GULF BY THU.
..CARIBBEAN SEA
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT OFFSHORE COLOMBIA. PLEASE, REFER TO
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
ASIDE FROM THE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS OFF COLOMBIA, FRESH TO
NEAR GALE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 8-12 FT, ARE OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6-7 FT ARE OVER THE
GULF OF HONDURAS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT,
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG E TO NE WINDS OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA WILL PULSE TO GALE FORCE OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA TONIGHT, WITH NIGHTLY PULSES TO NEAR GALE LIKELY THROUGH
AT LEAST MID-WEEK. FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS
WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS INTO MID- WEEK.
..ATLANTIC OCEAN
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AGADIR MARINE ZONE OF METEO-
FRANCE.. PLEASE, REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR
MORE INFORMATION.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N48W TO 22N56W. LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS, WITH SEAS OF 7 TO LOCALLY 8 FT ARE IN THE VICINITY OF THE
TROUGH. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLANTIC
DISCUSSION WATERS. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 2-5 FT, ARE
W OF THE TROUGH. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6-8 FT,
COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DISCUSSION WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST WEST OF 55W, HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL SUPPORT GENTLE BREEZES AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
NORTH OF 22N EARLY THIS WEEK. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD TODAY ENABLING A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE
NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO PULSE OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA INTO MID
WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO WATERS BETWEEN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND BERMUDA WED.
AL
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