932
AXNT20 KNHC 241702
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC MON MAR 24 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF AMERICA, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1600 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
CARIBBEAN GALE WARNING: STRONG NE TO E WINDS DUE TO A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE AND THE COLOMBIAN
LOW WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT, WITH SEAS INCREASING TO
12 TO 14 FT IN RESPONSE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AGAIN TUE MORNING,
BUT MAY PULSE AGAIN TO NEAR GALE FORCE NIGHTLY INTO LATE WEEK.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT THE WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFAT2.SHTML, FOR MORE DETAILS.
EAST ATLANTIC GALE: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
LOCATED NEAR THE AZORES AND LOWER PRESSURES IN NW AFRICA SUPPORTS
NEAR GALE FORCE NE TO N WINDS IN THE AGADIR MARINE ZONE OF METEO-
FRANCE. WINDS OVER THESE WATERS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO GALE-
FORCE TODAY AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 10 TO 13 FT DURING THIS PERIOD.
FOR MORE DETAILS, REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
LISTED ON THEIR WEBSITE HTTPS://WWMIWS.WMO.INT
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH REACHES THE ATLANTIC NEAR 08N12W AND CONTINUES
SW TO 01N29W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 01N29W TO COASTAL BRAZIL NEAR
02S40W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 06N BETWEEN 08W AND 23W.
..GULF OF AMERICA
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE SW GULF ALONG 94W. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN. OVERALL MAINLY GENTLE WINDS
DOMINATE, WITH SEAS OF 2-4 FT, EXCEPT 2 FT OR LESS IN THE NE GULF.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF,
SUPPORTING MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH S TO SE WINDS OVER THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF, AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS IN THE
EASTERN BASIN INTO MID-WEEK. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NIGHTLY
THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK, SUPPORTING PULSES OF FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS OVER ADJACENT WATERS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL SKIRT
THE NE GULF WITH LITTLE IMPACT TONIGHT INTO TUE. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING INTO THE BASIN IN ITS WAKE WILL LEAD TO MODERATE TO FRESH
SE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ACROSS THE NW GULF BY THU.
..CARIBBEAN SEA
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT OFFSHORE COLOMBIA. PLEASE, REFER TO
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
STRONG WINDS DOMINATE THE CENTRAL BASIN, WITH FRESH WINDS IN THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND MODERATE TRADES IN THE WEST. SEA ARE 8 TO 11
FT IN THE CENTRAL AND SW CARIBBEAN, 5 TO 7 FT IN THE EASTERN
BASIN, AND 4 TO 6 FT IN THE NW BASIN.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG E TO NE WINDS OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA WILL PULSE TO GALE FORCE OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA TONIGHT, WITH NIGHTLY PULSES TO NEAR GALE LIKELY THROUGH
AT LEAST MID-WEEK. FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NE WINDS WILL
PULSE IN THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS
WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS INTO MID- WEEK.
..ATLANTIC OCEAN
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AGADIR MARINE ZONE OF METEO-
FRANCE'S FORECAST AREA. PLEASE, REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES
SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N47W TO 22N56W. OVERALL, HIGH
PRESSURE DOMINATES THE ATLANTIC WATERS N OF 22N, LEADING TO
MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS. SEAS ARE 4 TO 7 FT. TO THE SOUTH,
FRESH TRADES DOMINATE WITH SEAS OF 5 TO 8 FT.
FOR THE FORECAST WEST OF 55W, HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL SUPPORT GENTLE BREEZES AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
NORTH OF 22N THROUGH WED. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD TODAY ENABLING A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE
NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST TONIGHT. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO PULSE OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA INTO MID
WEEK. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO WATERS BETWEEN NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND BERMUDA WED.
KONARIK
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page