590
AXNT20 KNHC 250841
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1215 UTC TUE MAR 25 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF AMERICA, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0830 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
CARIBBEAN GALE WARNING: STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS ARE PULSING OFF
THE COAST OF COLOMBIA, WITH SEAS PEAKING NEAR 13 FT. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL DECREASE THIS MORNING, THEN PULSE TO GALE FORCE
OFFSHORE OF COLOMBIA AGAIN TONIGHT. WINDS WILL THEN PULSE TO NEAR
GALE FORCE AT NIGHT THROUGH FRI.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT THE WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFAT2.SHTML, FOR MORE DETAILS.
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH ENTERS THE ATLANTIC NEAR 09N13W AND CONTINUES
SW TO 06N19W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 06N19W TO 00N50W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 00N TO 04N BETWEEN 23W AND 47W.
..GULF OF AMERICA
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE W GULF, WITH WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE NE GULF. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE
FEATURES IS SUPPORTING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-5
FT, N AND W OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS, AND
SEAS OF 2-4 FT PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE BASIN WILL GENERALLY
SUPPORT LIGHT TO GENTLE SE TO S WINDS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
GULF, AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE
BASIN INTO WED. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NIGHTLY THROUGH EARLY
THIS WEEK, SUPPORTING PULSES OF FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS OVER
ADJACENT WATERS. A COLD FRONT WILL SKIRT THE NE GULF EARLY TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE BASIN IN ITS WAKE WILL LEAD TO
MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEAST WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ACROSS THE NW
GULF BY THU.
..CARIBBEAN SEA
A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT OFFSHORE COLOMBIA. PLEASE, REFER TO
THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
ASIDE FROM THE AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS, FRESH TO STRONG WINDS
PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN, WITH SEAS IN THE 8-11 FT
RANGE. FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS OF 7-9 FT, ARE OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS, AND SEAS OF 6-7 FT, ARE FOUND IN
THE GULF OF HONDURAS. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-6
FT, PREVAIL ELSEWHERE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG E TO NE WINDS OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA WILL PULSE TO GALE FORCE OFFSHORE OF
COLOMBIA TONIGHT. THESE WINDS WILL THEN PULSE TO NEAR GALE FORCE
AT NIGHT THROUGH FRI. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS IN THE GULF OF
HONDURAS WILL DIMINISH TODAY.
..ATLANTIC OCEAN
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE ATLANTIC DISCUSSION WATERS. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC WATERS WEST OF
AFRICA TO NEAR 25W, WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE. MODERATE
TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS OF 4-7 FT ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 20N. FRESH
TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS, AND SEAS OF 7-8 FT, PREVAIL S OF 20N.
FOR THE FORECAST WEST OF 55W, HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL SUPPORT GENTLE BREEZES AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS
NORTH OF 22N THROUGH WED. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD ENABLING A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST EARLY TODAY BEFORE DISSIPATING. FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS ARE LIKELY TO PULSE OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF
HISPANIOLA INTO WED. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MAY MOVE INTO WATERS
BETWEEN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND BERMUDA WED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, BRINGING AN INCREASE IN WINDS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WATERS S OF 28N BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
AL
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