699
AXNT20 KNHC 101614
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1815 UTC THU APR 10 2025
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF AMERICA, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1600 UTC.
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LIBERIA NEAR 06N11W TO 04N16W,
WHERE IT TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ AND EXTENDS TO THE COAST OF
BRAZIL NEAR 03S44W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 01N TO
06N BETWEEN 17W AND 28W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 27N91W. AS A RESULT, LIGHT
TO GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS AND 2-4 FT SEAS PREVAIL ACROSS THE
GULF. SW WINDS MAY PULSE TO MODERATE SPEEDS ALONG THE COAST OF
MEXICO NORTH OF TAMPICO.
FOR THE FORECAST, TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRI
MORNING. A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE E GULF
TONIGHT THROUGH SAT. FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N WINDS WILL FOLLOW
THE FRONT OVER THE NE GULF FRI NIGHT INTO SAT BEFORE DIMINISHING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH MODERATE TO
FRESH S RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE W GULF SUN AND MON.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM E CUBA TO HONDURAS WITH MODERATE
TO FRESH N WINDS AND 4-6 FT SEAS ANALYZED BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS
THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FRONT. GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES AND 4-6 FT SEAS
PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN, WITH LOCALLY FRESH TRADES
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE STATIONARY FRONT FROM E CUBA TO HONDURAS
WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONT WILL
STRENGTHEN WINDS OFF NICARAGUA FRI AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND BEFORE DIMINISHING ON MON. ELSEWHERE, FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG TRADES WILL PREVAIL IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INTO THE
WEEKEND BEFORE STRENGTHENING EARLY NEXT WEEK. ROUGH SEAS IN N
SWELL OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL
SUBSIDE LATER TODAY.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N71W TO 1015 MB LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED NEAR 28N74W TO EASTERN CUBA. WEST OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY, 7-10 FT SEAS AND FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE ANALYZED.
NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 30W, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS WITH 7-10 FT
SEAS PREVAIL BEHIND A DECAYING COLD FRONT. SOUTH OF 12N ACROSS THE
BASIN, 8-9 FT SEAS PREVAIL IN DECAYING N SWELL. THE REMAINDER OF
THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS
WITH 4-7 FT SEAS IN OPEN WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST WEST OF 55W, STRONG NE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW AND FRONT NORTH OF 28N BETWEEN 73W-78W WILL STEADILY DIMINISH
TODAY. THE LOW WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING. A NEW COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE
COAST OF FLORIDA LATE FRI. THE FRONT WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE
FORECAST WATERS, FOLLOWED BY FRESH TO STRONG W TO NW WINDS NORTH
OF 29N SAT INTO MON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MAHONEY
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