175
AXNT20 KNHC 262113
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0015 UTC FRI MAR 27 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF AMERICA, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
ATLANTIC GALE WARNING: A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WATERS OFFSHORE OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA BY SAT MORNING, AND REACH
FROM 31N60W TO SE FLORIDA BY SUN MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING ON
MON. STRONG WINDS, WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE, AND ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT THROUGH EARLY SUN.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFAT2.SHTML AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH ENTERS THE ATLANTIC NEAR 07.5N12.5W AND
CONTINUES SOUTHWESTWARD TO 0.5S29W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 0.5S29W
TO 01S45W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 03S TO 03N
BETWEEN 15W AND 35W.
..GULF OF AMERICA
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS ACROSS THE BASIN, ANCHORED BY A 1023 MB
HIGH CENTERED OVER GEORGIA. LIGHT WINDS ARE OVER THE NE GULF, WITH
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE
OVER THE NE GULF, AND 2-4 FT ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
NORTHEAST GULF THROUGH LATE FRI. A TROUGH OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OFF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA, MAINLY AT NIGHT, THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
EARLY SAT MORNING, REACH THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY SUN MORNING, AND
MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE BASIN LATE ON SUN. FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E
WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT OVER
THE EASTERN GULF SAT NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MON. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO SUSTAIN FRESH TO STRONG EAST
WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE NEXT WEEK.
..CARIBBEAN SEA
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE BASIN
AND THE COLOMBIAN LOW IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADE
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN THE SOUTH- CENTRAL CARIBBEAN.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE BASIN.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH
THE COLOMBIAN LOW WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS AND
MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS OFFSHORE COLOMBIA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LOOKING AHEAD, HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THIS WEEKEND, SUPPORTING FRESH
TO STRONG NE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS IN THE LEE SIDE OF CUBA, THE
WINDWARD PASSAGE, AND JUST SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA FROM SAT NIGHT
THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.
..ATLANTIC OCEAN
A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N60W TO 29N75W. A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N46.5W TO 21N56W. A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOTED NEAR THESE FEATURES. FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE BASIN, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT IS LEADING TO MODERATE OR
WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS, EXCEPT FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH WINDS EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. IN THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC, MODERATE TO FRESH N-NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE NOTED
OVER THE WATERS NORTH OF 25N AND EAST OF 27W.
FOR THE FORECAST WEST OF 55W ASIDE FROM THE GALE WARNING, A RIDGE
WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST WATERS THROUGH LATE FRI SUPPORTING
GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS OFFSHORE OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
BY SAT MORNING, AND REACH FROM 31N60W TO SE FLORIDA BY SUN
MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING ON MON. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, WITH FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E
WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST
REGION LIKELY THROUGH TUE.
AL
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