843
AXNT20 KNHC 232049
TWDAT
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0015 UTC WED JUN 24 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA, CENTRAL AMERICA
GULF OF AMERICA, CARIBBEAN SEA, NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH
AMERICA, AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 31N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS, RADAR AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2030 UTC.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE AXIS OF AN EASTERN TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 24/25W FROM 15N
SOUTHWARD, MOVING WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 03N TO 15N BETWEEN 20W AND 30W.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 51W FROM 15N SOUTHWARD,
MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
SEEN FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W.
THE AXIS OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 60W FROM 17N SOUTHWARD,
MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 56W AND 61W.
..MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ
THE MONSOON TROUGH ENTERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR 20N16W AND
CURVES SOUTHWESTWARD TO 04N36W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 04N36W TO
04N50W. CONVECTION NEAR THESE AREAS IS DISCUSSED IN THE TROPICAL
WAVES SECTION ABOVE.
..GULF OF AMERICA
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS ACROSS THE AREA, ANCHORED BY A 1021 MB HIGH
CENTERED NEAR 27N87W. LIGHT WINDS, AND SMOOTH SEAS, ARE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE HIGH CENTER. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS, AND
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS, PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE BASIN THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. GENTLE TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS WILL GENERALLY
PREVAIL ACROSS THE BASIN DURING THIS TIME, EXCEPT FOR FRESH TO
STRONG NE TO E WINDS PULSING OFF THE NORTHWESTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA NIGHTLY THROUGH WED NIGHT, THEN MAINLY FRESH WINDS THERE
AFTERWARD.
..CARIBBEAN SEA
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND THE COLOMBIAN LOW IS
SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN, WITH
SEAS IN THE 8-14 FT RANGE. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND SEAS OF
6-8 FT, PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE N OF
THE AREA AND THE COLOMBIAN LOW WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG TRADE
WINDS, AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE CENTRAL BASIN THROUGH WED MORNING,
THEN BECOME CONFINED TO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL BASIN WED AND WED NIGHT
BEFORE EXPANDING NORTHWARD AGAIN THU THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT
WINDS NEAR-GALE FORCE OFFSHORE OF NORTHWESTERN COLOMBIA, DURING
THE NIGHTTIME AND EARLY MORNING HOURS, EXCEPT FOR WED NIGHT
THROUGH THU MORNING. PULSING FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND MODERATE TO
LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS NIGHTLY.
FRESH TRADES WITH ROUGH SEAS SHOULD PERSIST EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES THROUGH THU MORNING, DIMINISHING TO MODERATE WINDS AND
SEAS AFTERWARD.
..ATLANTIC OCEAN
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE DISCUSSION WATERS N OF 20N. LIGHT TO
GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL N OF 25N BETWEEN 40W AND 70W. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS, AND MODERATE SEAS, ARE ELSEWHERE N OF 20N. S OF
20N, MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, ARE
NOTED.
FOR THE FORECAST WEST OF 55W, HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS WITH
LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA
EACH LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT. OTHERWISE,
MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS ARE
EXPECTED S OF 22N THROUGH THU BEFORE DIMINISHING. MODERATE OR
LIGHTER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE.
AL
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