358  
FNUS73 KOAX 071316  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COPELAND BEND WMA...IOWA DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
816 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUD COVER REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE BURN SITE, BUT THE RAIN  
SHOWERS REMAIN SOUTH ACROSS KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH TIME,  
THE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED  
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON BUT THE AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT  
AND MANY LOCATIONS WILL ONLY SEE TRACE AMOUNTS.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 10-12 MPH  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 35-45 PERCENT  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (47400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (121700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P  
SKY (%).........59 53 55 53 51 54 53 54  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............67 70 72 74 74 74 74 74  
RH..............54 47 43 37 37 36 36 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 11 13 14 14 14 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 8 10 10 11 11 11 10  
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E E E E E E  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 9 10 11 11 11 11 11  
SURFACE WND GST.12 14 16 17 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 5.2 6.2 7.3 7.8 7.8 8.0 7.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 17 16 17 17 17 17  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100047 67 86 102 115 122 120 107  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH DECREASING TO 6  
TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO  
8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (86400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID  
SKY (%).........56 56 47 49 51 57 50 54 63 62 57 59  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............74 74 71 67 64 63 60 58 56 55 55 54  
RH..............37 38 43 53 61 64 68 76 82 85 85 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE N NE NE N N NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 10 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE N NE NE N N NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 2 2 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 8 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE N NE NE N N NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 9 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 5  
SURFACE WND GST.16 14 12 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.5 5.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE E SW NE E N N N NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 14 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 8  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100086 63 41 19 4 0 1 4 4 3 4 4  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST UP TO 8 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (52800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P  
SKY (%).........57 58 60 50 47 43 37 30 28 27 25 22  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 54 55 58 62 65 69 72 74 75 75 75  
RH..............96 93 90 80 70 63 55 48 43 41 40 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 10 11 12 13 14 14 16 16 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 12 12 12  
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 6 6 8 8 9 9 10 11 13 13 13  
SURFACE WND GST.9 10 10 12 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.5 1.7 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.8 4.3 4.8 5.2 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 14 14 14 13 14 15 14 13 12 12  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 7 13 21 28 36 43 49 52 53 52 53  
 

 
FORECASTER...CLF  
REQUESTED BY...MATT DOLLISON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513349.0/OAX  
.DELDT 05/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATT.DOLLISON@DNR.IOWA.GOV  
 
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