139
FNUS73 KOAX 071616
FWSOAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LLAMA UNIT - WILDERNESS PARK...LINCOLN PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1116 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH DRY
CONDITIONS FAVORED. TEMPERATURE AT IGNITION SHOULD BE AROUND 73
AND TOP OUT AT 75 THIS AFTERNOON WITH RH FALLING FROM 40 PERCENT
TO AROUND 33 PERCENT. WIND WILL BE EASTERLY AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
PERHAPS A FEW GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH. GIVEN THE WINDS, SMOKE DISPERSAL
SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE. MAY WANT TO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR A STRAY
RAIN SHOWER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BUT ONLY GIVE IT ABOUT 10
PERCENT CHANCE, WITH HIGHER CHANCES TO THE NORTH AND TO THE SOUTH.
RH SHOULD RECOVER INTO THE UPPER 80S OVERNIGHT, WITH THURSDAY
BEING SIMILAR TO TODAY, BUT WITH WINDS BEING A LITTLE MORE
NORTHEASTERLY.
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: GUSTS TO 25 MPH,
MOST LIKELY IF A SHOWER MOVES THROUGH.
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 25%
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (85700 KNOT-FT).
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........67 74 75 64 50 43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73 74 75 75 75 75
RH..............40 37 35 35 35 33
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 17 17 17 17
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.8 10 13 13 13 13
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E E E E
SURFACE WND SPD.11 13 14 14 14 14
SURFACE WND GST.14 16 21 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.1 6.9 7.6 8.0 8.3 8.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 17 17 17 18
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
SDSPL KT-FT/100086 104 118 125 124 115
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING DECREASING TO EAST 8 TO 10 MPH, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH
OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE NORTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (97300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........47 51 49 47 52 64
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75 72 64 60 56 54
RH..............33 40 57 68 76 87
20 FT WIND......SE 10 E 6 NE 4 NE 2 N 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 10 6 4 4 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 8 E 4 NE 3 NE 1 N 1 NE 1
EYE LVL WND GST.11 8 5 3 3 4
SURFACE WIND....SE 13 E 8 NE 5 NE 3 N 3 NE 3
SURFACE WND GST.18 13 8 5 5 6
MIX HGT (FT)....7800 600 600 600 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 18 E 9 SE 9 W 7 NW 7 N 6
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
SDSPL KT-FT/100097 50 4 0 3 3
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST UP TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 13 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59 55 61 59 53 47 43 39 34 30 25 22
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............54 53 56 58 63 66 69 72 74 75 76 76
RH..............86 89 86 80 67 61 54 49 45 42 40 38
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 10 10 11 13 14 14 16 16 16
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 7 8 8 10 10 11 12 12 12
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
SURFACE WND SPD.4 5 6 8 8 9 10 11 13 14 14 14
SURFACE WND GST.6 7 9 12 13 14 16 17 18 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.3 3.2 3.8 4.3 4.7 5.2 5.5 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E E E NE NE NE E E NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 10 13 13 10 13 13 13 13 13 13
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 4 10 17 26 33 41 47 54 59 61 58
FORECASTER...CA
REQUESTED BY...AARON DRUERY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513383.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/07/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ADRUERY@LINCOLN.NE.GOV
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