784
FNUS73 KOAX 081323
FWSOAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR NODDLEMAN ISLAND...PARTNER AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
823 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLEARING SKIES THIS MORNING WITH WINDS LIGHT, GENERALLY OUT OF THE
NORTH. WINDS ARE BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY AS THEY INCREASE THIS
MORNING WITH THE EROSION OF THE MORNING INVERSION. MIXING HEIGHTS
WILL PEAK AT AROUND 5700 FT BY 4 PM. HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO 31-36
PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON, BUT FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL STAY LOW TO
MODERATE.
FRIDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WEATHER-WISE, THOUGH HUMIDITY WILL
DROP LOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE 25-30% RANGE AND WINDS
WILL BE LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE. WE'LL SEE FIRE DANGER TREND
HIGHER EACH DAY OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN. WINDS WILL STAY RELATIVELY LIGHT
UNTIL SUNDAY WHEN WE SEE STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN TO THE
REGION.
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 20 MPH GUSTS
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 33%
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /46200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/57600 KNOT-FT/.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22 17 12 15 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72 75 76 77 77
RH..............49 43 42 39 37
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 14
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 6 6 7
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 11 10
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 10 10 11
SURFACE WND GST.16 16 16 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.9 5.5 5.9 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 10 12
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0
SDSPL KT-FT/100046 50 52 53 58
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7
TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (60600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 6 12 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............76 75 71 66 63 60 58 56 54 53 50 50
RH..............37 38 44 50 56 60 62 69 71 74 80 80
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 6 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 10 7 7 6 6 5 4
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 4 4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.10 9 8 7 5 5 4 4 4 3 2 2
SURFACE WND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
SURFACE WND SPD.10 10 8 8 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3
SURFACE WND GST.16 15 13 12 9 9 7 7 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.7 4.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 9 8 7
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDSPL KT-FT/100061 58 42 22 5 1 2 5 4 4 4 3
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (36500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................0.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12 18 9 2 1 4 3 2 3 5 6 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49 48 52 56 63 68 72 74 76 78 79 80
RH..............86 89 80 72 60 50 44 40 35 32 30 28
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE E E NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E SE SE SE E E NE NE E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
SURFACE WND DIR.E E SE SE SE E E NE NE E E E
SURFACE WND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
SURFACE WND GST. 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.7 4.3 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E SE SE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 7 9 9 8 7 6
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 3 4 7 12 20 28 35 37 36 32 29
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...NICOLAISEN
REQUESTED BY...MATT DOLLISON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513504.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/08/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATT.DOLLISON@DNR.IOWA.GOV
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