989  
FNUS73 KOAX 081451  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HRABIK SAVANNA RX BURN UNIT...IOWA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
951 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON MAY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS ARE BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY AS THEY INCREASE THIS MORNING WITH  
THE EROSION OF THE MORNING INVERSION. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL PEAK AT  
AROUND 6000 FT BY 4 PM. HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO 28-32 PERCENT BY 6PM.  
WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST AT 5PM IGNITION AND RELAX, HOLDING THEIR  
NORTHEAST DIRECTION PRETTY STEADY THROUGH ABOUT 9PM WHEN THEY  
BECOME MORE EASTERLY.  
 
FRIDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WEATHER-WISE, THOUGH HUMIDITY WILL  
DROP LOWER DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE 23-28% RANGE AND WINDS WILL  
BE LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE. WE'LL SEE FIRE DANGER TREND HIGHER  
EACH DAY OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA  
AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN. WINDS WILL STAY RELATIVELY LIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY  
WHEN WE SEE STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN TO THE REGION.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 17 MPH GUST  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 28%  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.  
RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5600 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /53900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/53900 KNOT-FT/.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM  
SKY (%).........3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............76  
RH..............32  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6  
EYE LVL WND GST.10  
SURFACE WND DIR.NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.10  
SURFACE WND GST.16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9  
GFDI............0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100054  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.  
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 8 TO  
12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (53600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........3 6 8 4 6 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............76 71 61 57 54 50  
RH..............32 36 50 53 59 71  
20 FT WIND......NE 7 E 6 E 5 E 4 SE 3 SE 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 7 6 6 4  
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 5 E 4 E 4 E 3 SE 2 SE 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.9 7 5 5 4 3  
SURFACE WIND....NE 9 E 8 E 6 E 5 SE 4 SE 3  
SURFACE WND GST.15 12 9 8 7 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 400 300 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 9 E 9 E 10 E 12 SE 10 SE 8  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100054 34 3 1 3 2  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.  
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (26800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........5 6 1 3 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 53 65 73 76 78  
RH..............77 71 52 40 36 32  
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 S 3 S 4 SE 4 SE 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 6 6 6 7  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 1 SE 1 S 2 S 3 SE 3 SE 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 4 5 5 5  
SURFACE WIND....SE 3 SE 3 S 4 S 5 SE 5 SE 5  
SURFACE WND GST.5 5 7 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 800 1800 3200 4900 5400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 S 7 S 7 SE 6 NE 6 NE 6  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 4 11 18 24 27  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 6 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 11 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...NICOLAISEN  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF SEAGO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513517.0/OAX  
.DELDT 05/08/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEFFREY.SEAGO@DNR.IOWA.GOV  
 
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