302
FXUS63 KOAX 270800
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
300 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST WITH OFF AND ON SHOWERS
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 0.25" ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY, WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NEAR THE NE/KS
BORDER.
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 257 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
A VORT MAX ATTENDANT TO AN UPPER LOW CHURNING OVER THE DAKOTAS
CONTINUED TO PUSH SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY (40-60%),
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE TEMPERED BY PRECIPITATION
AND CLOUD COVER. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE LOW
TO MID 60S.
WE'LL HAVE A BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM SHOWERS WEDNESDAY MORNING, BEFORE
ANOTHER VORT MAX ROTATES THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
RAIN WITH THIS DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY BE LESS EXTENSIVE IN AREAL
COVERAGE GIVEN THAT THE MORE ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL BE
OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST AND NORTHWEST. THIS FINAL ROUND OF
PRECIPITATION MOVES OUT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, AS THE UPPER LOW
FINALLY EJECTS SOUTHEAST.
ONCE AGAIN, INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY LIMITED, PRECLUDING ANY
SEVERE STORM CHANCES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM FEW HUNDREDTHS
TO 0.25" TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
TO FALL ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA, NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM INTO MIDWEEK, REACHING THE LOW TO
MID 70S BY THURSDAY.
FRIDAY AND BEYOND...
FROM FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, A MID-LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL CONUS BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW. SEVERAL MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. FOR NOW POPS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 20%.
OUR WARMING TREND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD,
WITH HIGHS FORECAST TO REACH THE 80S BY NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT MON MAY 26 2025
SHOWERS ARE QUICKLY DISSIPATING THIS EVENING. CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY HAVEN'T SLIPPED AS MUCH AS ANTICIPATED, SO THIS TAF
UPDATE HAS BROUGHT FORECAST EXPECTATIONS UP JUST A BIT. STILL
EXPECT TO SEE SOME IFR CIGS AT LNK AND OFK THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY ARE POSSIBLE AS LOW AS 1.5
MILES, THOUGH HAVE LEFT VISIBILITY MUCH HIGHER THAN THAT IN THE
CURRENT FORECAST. EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE BECOMING INCREASINGLY
NORTHERLY BY TUESDAY EVENING.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...NICOLAISEN
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