384
FXUS63 KOAX 271656
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1156 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST WITH OFF AND ON SHOWERS
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
- ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 0.25" ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY, WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NEAR THE NE/KS
BORDER.
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 257 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
A VORT MAX ATTENDANT TO AN UPPER LOW CHURNING OVER THE DAKOTAS
CONTINUED TO PUSH SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY (40-60%),
GRADUALLY DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE TEMPERED BY PRECIPITATION
AND CLOUD COVER. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE LOW
TO MID 60S.
WE'LL HAVE A BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM SHOWERS WEDNESDAY MORNING, BEFORE
ANOTHER VORT MAX ROTATES THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
RAIN WITH THIS DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY BE LESS EXTENSIVE IN AREAL
COVERAGE GIVEN THAT THE MORE ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL BE
OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST AND NORTHWEST. THIS FINAL ROUND OF
PRECIPITATION MOVES OUT BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON, AS THE UPPER LOW
FINALLY EJECTS SOUTHEAST.
ONCE AGAIN, INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY LIMITED, PRECLUDING ANY
SEVERE STORM CHANCES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM FEW HUNDREDTHS
TO 0.25" TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
TO FALL ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA, NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.
TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM INTO MIDWEEK, REACHING THE LOW TO
MID 70S BY THURSDAY.
FRIDAY AND BEYOND...
FROM FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, A MID-LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE
CENTRAL CONUS BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW. SEVERAL MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH THE
CENTRAL PLAINS BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA ON
SATURDAY. FOR NOW POPS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 20%.
OUR WARMING TREND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD,
WITH HIGHS FORECAST TO REACH THE 80S BY NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
GENERALLY MVFR TO SPOTTY IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND OVERCAST SKIES. PATCHY
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
AS SHOWERS TAPER OFF AND CEILINGS GRADUALLY BREAK UP AND
IMPROVE. FOG IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN DURING THE MORNING HOURS,
WITH MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT KOFK AND KLNK.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN FOG IMPACTING KOMA AT THIS TIME. FOG IS
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY 12-14Z, WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING.
WINDS WILL REMAIN CALM AND EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...WOOD
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