809
FXUS63 KOAX 032014
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
214 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER SUNDAY WITH ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSISTING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK WITH INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES
LATE IN THE WORKWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 215 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 30S ACROSS THE AREA, COLDEST
WHERE THE FRESH SNOW/SLEET FELL ON FRIDAY NIGHT. LOW CLOUDS ARE
HUNG OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA WITH SOME OVER LINCOLN
AND LANCASTER COUNTY AS OF 1PM WHERE A WEAK BOUNDARY LIES. THE
SHORTWAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINTRY MIX LAST NIGHT IS PUSHING
OUT OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AS H5 RIDGING BUILDS JUST WEST OF HERE.
WINDS ARE LIGHT, HAVING FLIPPED FROM THE EAST TO THE WEST OVER
THE COURSE OF THE DAY. THEY'LL BECOME SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT AND
PICK UP SPEED. THIS WILL LIMIT THE EXTENT OF THE PROGGED
DEVELOPMENT OF FOG. GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY CONFIDENT IN
VISIBILITIES FALLING OVER NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
WITH AREAL EXTENT OF FOG PEAKING AROUND MIDNIGHT IN THE
COLUMBUS/ALBION/NORFOLK AREAS. EXPECT VISIBILITY FALL TO BELOW
ONE MILE AT TIMES (HREF PROBABILITIES 40-50%). WITH SOUTHERLY
WIND SPEEDS NEAR 10-20 MPH BY SUNRISE, EXPECT THE FOG TO BE ON
THE RETREAT BY 6AM.
SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO GAIN SPEED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
SUNDAY, PEAKING WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 30MPH BY THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THIS WILL ENCOURAGE TEMPS TO CLIMB; HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM MID-40S EAST TO MID-50S WEST.
WORK WEEK
MID-CONUS RIDGING BREAKS DOWN INTO ZONAL FLOW BY MONDAY WITH TWO
WEAK MID- LEVEL IMPULSES SWEEP THROUGH THE PROGRESSIVE FLOW.
MONDAY'S WAVE PASSES DIRECTLY THROUGH THE AREA, BUT REMAINS
DRY. TUESDAY'S PASSES TOO FAR TO THE NORTH TO BRING PRECIP HERE.
TEMPS HIT THEIR ZENITH ON WEDNESDAY WITH WIDESPREAD AND
UNSEASONABLY WARM 50S WITH PERHAPS A 60 MIXING IN. STANDING
RECORDS ARE IN THE MID-60S WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FALLS CITY'S 63
SET IN 2017.
THURSDAY (20%) AND FRIDAY (40%) BRING PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO
THE CENTRAL CONUS AND THE MID-MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY WITH AN
AMPLIFIED TROF PROGGED TO BE IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA BY
THURSDAY. THIS WILL POINT THE SOUTHWEST FLOW TOWARD THE CORN
BELT. GOING TEMPERATURE FORECASTS KEEP P-TYPES DEPENDENT ON THE
TIMING OF THE EJECTING WAVES. RAIN/SNOW/WINTRY MIX ARE ALL ON
THE TABLE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1114 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A DECK OF STRATUS AT FL006 HAS BUILT INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS MORNING BRINGING A HANDFUL OF HOURS OF IFR AND
LIFR CIGS TO MOST LOCATIONS. THIS SWATH IS SLOWLY MOVING FROM
THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS FORECAST CALLS FOR IT TO
CLEAR KOFK BY 1PM AND KLNK AND KOMA BY 2PM.
OTHERWISE EXPECT LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW TO BECOME EASTERLY BY
SUNSET, PICKING UP SPEED AND BECOMING SOUTHERLY BY SUNRISE.
HAVE INTRODUCED LOW CIGS AND FOG TO KOFK OVERNIGHT WITH IFR
FLIGHT CATEGORY FORECAST.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NICOLAISEN
AVIATION...NICOLAISEN
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