877
FXUS63 KOAX 251719
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1119 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CONTINUED COLD THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS OF -15 TO -25
MONDAY MORNING.
- NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION WILL BRING POTENTIAL FOR
LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE BEING
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY (20-30%).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 215 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...
THE LAST LINGERING DREGS OF FALLING SNOW SHIFTED SOUTHEAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT LAST NIGHT, LEAVING A SWATH OF CLOUDS
OVER SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA, AND CLEAR SKIES TO THE
NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES FELL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW
0 OVERNIGHT, WITH WIND CHILLS DROPPING TO THE NEGATIVE TEENS.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE TEENS THIS AFTERNOON,
BEFORE THE NEXT ARCTIC COLD FRONT SWEEPS INTO THE REGION. WHILE THE
CAMS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW FLURRIES TO SNEAK INTO FAR
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST IOWA, MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE WITH SUFFICIENT SATURATION TO PRODUCE SNOW. WHILE A COUPLE
OF FLAKES MAY REACH THE SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON, NO NOTABLE
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURES PLUMMET -5 TO -10 SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH WIND CHILLS
DIPPING AS LOW AS -15 TO -25 BY MONDAY MORNING. A COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
SOUTHWEST IOWA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WHILE
MODEL GUIDANCE WAS BORDERLINE ON WIND CHILLS FALLING INTO THE
-20S OVER SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST IOWA, RECENT SNOWFALL
AND CLEARING SKIES WILL LIKELY ENHANCE RADIATIONAL COOLING
OVERNIGHT, LEADING COLDER THAN EXPECTED TEMPERATURES.
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BEYOND...
WARMING DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND INTO THE
20S AND LOW 30S MONDAY AFTERNOON. SIMILAR TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, WITH MORNING LOWS FALLING
INTO THE LOW TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE 0. TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY DIP A FEW DEGREES, INTO THE 20S, BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION, BRINGING
THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A FEW SHORTWAVES TO RIPPLE THROUGH THE
CENTRAL CONUS. LREF AND NBM PROBS INDICATE THE BEST CHANCE FOR AT
LEAST A GLANCING BLOW OF LIGHT SNOW WOULD BE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
MORNING (10-15%), AND THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY (20-40%).
CURRENTLY, IT LOOKS LIKE ANY ACCUMULATIONS WITH THESE WAVES WOULD
LIKELY BE LIGHT, GENERALLY AROUND AN INCH OR LESS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1119 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
A WEAK FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY
WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY SWITCHING TO
NORTH-NORTHWEST BEHIND IT. SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL STEADILY
INCREASE TO 12-14 KT THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. HIGHER GUSTS
ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY AT KOFK AND KLNK. CURRENT UPSTREAM
OBSERVATIONS ACROSS SD AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT LOW
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON (AROUND FL025) WITH THE
MOST LIKELY LOCATION FOR TEMPORARY MVFR CONDITIONS BEING AT
KOFK LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. A FEW FLURRIES MAY
ALSO OCCUR AT THAT TIME.
CLOUDS AND WINDS DECREASE OVERNIGHT WITH THE WIND DIRECTION
CHANGING TO SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY MORNING.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST MONDAY
FOR NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068-
078-088>093.
IA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST MONDAY
FOR IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091.
DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...MEAD
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