974
FXUS63 KOAX 262310
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
510 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER, BUT STILL BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THIS
WEEK.
- SNOW CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT (15-25% POPS)
AND SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT (15-30% POPS).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 212 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO OUR NORTH TODAY WILL DRAG A
SURFACE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT,
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE ADVECTING A WARMER AIR MASS INTO
REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH 2 PM TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AND 30S
IN SNOW-FREE AREAS, AND TEENS AND 20S WHERE SNOW EXISTS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURES BUILDS THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 20S.
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY WITH WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED AHEAD OF IT
(I.E., HIGHS IN UPPER 20S TO MID 30S).
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY:
THE MODELS INDICATE A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSING TO OUR
SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, AHEAD OF A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH, WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
MID-MO VALLEY FRIDAY. IT CURRENTLY APPEARS THAT THE BEST SNOW
CHANCES WITH THOSE SYSTEMS WILL EXIST THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT (15-25% POPS) WITH THE HIGHEST POPS TO OUR WEST. ANOTHER
CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM IS PROJECTED TO THE TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND UPPER-MS VALLEY SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
THIS FORECAST UPDATE INDICATING 15-30% POPS AT THAT TIME.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AND
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S ON THURSDAY AND
SATURDAY, AND IN THE TEENS FRIDAY. WARMER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED BY SUNDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 510 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES. EXPECT SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS EARLY IN THE
PERIOD ON EITHER SIDE OF 10 KTS BEFORE THEY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY
OVERNIGHT REMAIN AT SIMILAR SPEEDS THROUGH THE DAY. ALSO EXPECT
A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR EARLY IN THE PERIOD AT
OMA AND LNK WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF 35 KTS AT AROUND 1500 FT AGL.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MEAD
AVIATION...CA
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