969
FXUS63 KOAX 281700
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1100 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER, BUT STILL BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S
AND MID 30S TODAY.
- COLDER TEMPERATURES MOVE BACK IN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH LOWS
DROPPING BELOW ZERO AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING AND WIND CHILLS AS
LOW AS -10 TO -20.
- LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW CHANCES THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY
(30-60%) AND AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT (30-50%).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 131 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
A BAND OF MIDLEVEL CLOUDS BLANKETED THE REGION EARLY LAST NIGHT,
KEEPING TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING TOO QUICKLY. HOWEVER, IT BEGAN TO
ERODE AROUND MIDNIGHT, AND BY 1AM, MOST LOCATIONS HAD DIPPED INTO
THE TEENS AND LOW 20S, WITH LIGHT WINDS.
UPPER RIDGING OVER THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
TODAY, QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHING INTO THE
ROCKIES FROM THE WEST COAST. THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW WARMER AIR TO
ADVECT BACK INTO THE REGION. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL REACH A FEW
DEGREES HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY, GENERALLY UP TO THE LOW TO MID 30S.
HOWEVER, THIS "WARM-UP" WILL BE SHORT-LIVED, AS A BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, DROPPING
THURSDAY'S HIGHS BACK INTO LOW 20S.
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SHORTWAVE WILL PASS TO THE SOUTHWEST
THURSDAY, WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THIS SYSTEM WILL DRAW MOISTURE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST, ALLOWING A
BAND OF LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY (30-60%). OVERALL, ENSEMBLE PLUMES
INDICATE AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED,
HOWEVER A STRIPE OF SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WOULD BE POSSIBLE IF
A FRONTOGENESIS BAND IS ABLE TO ESTABLISH ITSELF. THE GREATEST
RISK FOR OVER AN INCH WOULD BE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA,
WITH LESSER AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO THE SOUTHEAST.
A MORE ROBUST TROUGH WILL DROP SOUTH OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES ON
FRIDAY, AS A SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL
BOTH PUSH MOISTURE, AND ANY LINGERING SNOWFALL, OFF TO OUR
SOUTHWEST, AND BRING A RESURGENCE OF COLD AIR BACK INTO THE REGION.
HIGHS ON FRIDAY ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO REACH THE POSITIVE TEENS.
FRIDAY NIGHT, LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS BELOW 0, HOWEVER WIND CHILLS WILL FEEL MORE LIKE
- 10 TO -20.
THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND...
ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL DRAW A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PLAINS THIS WEEKEND, BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY (30-50%). HOWEVER, THE DETAILS OF THIS SYSTEM
STILL REMAIN PRETTY HAZY WITH LITTLE CONSENSUS AMONGST MODEL
SOLUTIONS.
THE GOOD NEWS IS MODELS DO HINT AT AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE
NATION'S MIDSECTION EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING WARMER AIR WITH IT.
BOTH THE LATEST 6-10 AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS FROM THE CPC CONTINUE TO
PAINT US WITH AT LEAST A 50-60% CHANCE FOR TEMPERATURES TO RISE
ABOVE NORMAL.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1054 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST THE
FIRST HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CALM NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
PREVAIL WITH INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE
EVENING. OVERNIGHT, A BAND OF LIGHT SNOW WILL WORK IN FROM THE
NORTH. THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN SEEING SNOW WILL BE AT KOFK AND
KLNK (60% CHANCE), WITH LOWER CHANCES AT KOMA (20% CHANCE). ALL
TERMINALS WILL SEE OVERCAST CEILINGS DECREASING THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD, WITH PATCHY MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AS SNOW
MOVES IN.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...WOOD
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