940
FXUS63 KOAX 240544
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1144 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WARM THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES (40-60%) RETURN ON WEDNESDAY, WITH SOME
SNOW MIXING IN ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND WESTERN
IOWA.
- HIGHS CONTINUE CLIMBING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK
WEEK, PEAKING FRIDAY IN THE 60S, BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND ADDITIONAL SHOTS AT PRECIPITATION RETURN THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026
CLOUD COVER GREATLY LIMITED SNOW MELT MONDAY AFTERNOON, BUT
WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE ON THE HORIZON. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO
OUR NORTHEAST WILL PUSH A FRONT THROUGH THE AREA DURING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS BRINGS DOWNSLOPING, WESTERLY WINDS TO THE AREA,
HELPING TO BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES. WHILE TEENS AND 20S START
THE DAY, 50S WILL BE COMMON OVER BARE GROUND WITH 40S OVER SNOW.
CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT SNOW MELT SOMEWHAT, THOUGH THE WESTERLY
WINDS SHOULD HELP OFFSET THIS. THIS FRONT WILL BE A DRY FRONT
WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
HOT ON THE HEELS OF THIS SYSTEM, OUR NEXT TROUGH DROPS OUT OF
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. A
MEDIUM (40-60%) CHANCE OF A MIX OF RAIN AND NOW IS ANTICIPATED
FOR THE AREA. COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S AND 40S ACROSS
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND WEST-CENTRAL IOWA WILL FAVOR A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW, WHILE ELSEWHERE SEES 50S AND SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY
RAIN. ALL SNOW MAY BRIEFLY TAKE HOLD LATE IN THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY AS TEMPERATURES COOL. IMPACTS FROM ANY SNOWFALL IS
EXPECTED TO BE MINOR AS ONLY A DUSTING IS EXPECTED FROM PORTIONS
OF NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND WEST-CENTRAL IOWA.
TEMPERATURES REBOUND ON THURSDAY WITH MOST SEEING HIGHS IN THE
50S. A FEW 60S MAY EVEN BE POSSIBLE WITH WESTERN EXTENT. ANY
LINGERING SNOWPACK SHOULD DISAPPEAR AS WELL. TEMPERATURES CLIMB
EVEN FURTHER ON FRIDAY AS 60S TO NEAR 70 CLOSE OUT THE WORK
WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY, THE SPING-LIKE TEMPERATURES ARE SHORT
LIVED. OUR NEXT SERIES OF DISTURBANCES ARRIVES THIS WEEKEND.
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND OUR NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW MAY MATERIALIZE
DURING THIS TIME, BUT THIS IS TOO FAR IN THE FUTURE TO DIVE INTO
THE DETAILS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1102 PM CST MON FEB 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT UNDER OVERCAST SKIES. THE
PRIMARY CONCERN IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF LLWS WITH STRONG WINDS
DEVELOPING AT FL015. THESE WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE WILL START
WITH A GREATER SOUTHERLY COMPONENT (210 DEGREES) AND TURN
WESTERLY OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT SIX HOURS.
BY SUNRISE, THE WINDS WILL BE MORE UNIFORM AND WIND SHEAR WILL
BE LESS OF A CONCERN. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER, BECOMING
NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CHEHAK
AVIATION...NICOLAISEN
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