628
FXUS63 KOAX 222326
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
626 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH 30 TO 40 MPH GUSTS
CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON, BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS EVENING.
AREAS OF VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER PERSIST OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA TODAY.
- COOLER TODAY AND MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S. THERE IS A LOW
(10-30%) CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS ON MONDAY.
- A WARMING TREND RETURNS FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING,
BRINGING A STRONG NORTH WIND AND CLOUD COVER. THIS CLOUD COVER
IS QUICKLY ERODING THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THE STRONG WINDS CONTINUE
TO LINGER. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH 30 TO 40 MPH
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING
OFF THIS EVENING. COOLER TEMPERATURES HAVE FILLED IN BEHIND THE
FRONT AS WELL. TEMPERATURES ARE ANYWHERE BETWEEN 40 AND 50
DEGREES COOLER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY. THAT BEING SAID, BY MID
AFTERNOON, EVERYONE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL IN THE 50S.
THE COOLER TEMPERATURES HANG ON INTO MONDAY, BUT AGAIN THIS ENDS
UP BEING NEAR NORMAL. A PASSING SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PRODUCE A BAND OF SHOWERS THAT MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA. THE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE CONSIDERABLE DRY
AIR IN THE LOW-LEVELS WHICH MAY PREVENT MOST OF THIS RAIN FROM
REACHING THE GROUND. THAT SAID, HAVE MAINTAINED AT LEAST A LOW
(10-30%) CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS ON MONDAY.
THE PERSISTENT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN US
WILL BUILD BACK NORTH AND EAST TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL
START ANOTHER WARMING TREND, QUICKLY BRINGING WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE FORECAST. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S AND
70S ARE ANTICIPATED TUESDAY WITH 80S MAKING A RETURN ON
WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION ON THURSDAY. DESPITE THIS SYSTEM AND ACCOMPANYING COLD
FRONT, TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REACH THE UPPER
60S TO NEAR 80 ACROSS THE REGION PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL SIGNIFICANTLY BEHIND THIS
FRONT. THERE IS A LOW (10-30%) OF SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT
THURSDAY EVENING, WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY
MORNING. THIS COOLER WEATHER IS SHORT-LIVED ONCE AGAIN, AS
ANOTHER WARMING TREND ENDS THE WORK WEEK AND THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 626 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD.
GUSTY NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KTS SHOULD SUBSIDE
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO, BECOMING UNDER 12 KTS THEREAFTER.
WINDS TURN CLOCKWISE AND BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY AFTER 12Z AND
SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 12 KTS ASIDE FROM KOFK WHERE GUSTINESS OF 20
TO 25 KTS RETURNS FOR THE AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
A CLOUD DECK DEVELOPING AT AROUND 1,500 FT AFTER 13-14Z. AT THIS
TIME, THE CLOUD DECK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN VFR AT FEW TO
SCT. A BAND OF CLOUDS AT 9,000 TO 12,000 FT MAY RESULT IN A FEW
RAIN SHOWERS AT TERMINALS AFTER 18Z, BUT AT ONLY A 15 TO 20%
CHANCE FOR OCCURRENCE.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CHEHAK
AVIATION...CASTILLO
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