827  
FNUS73 KOAX 191603  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOA...OAK TOWNSHIP FIRE DEPARTMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
1103 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MIXING LEVELS WILL INCREASE TO ABOVE 5000 FT THROUGH THE  
AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE LOWER 60S.ALONG WITH  
WARMING TEMPERATURES, RELATIVE HUMIDITY 30-35% WILL DECREASE  
DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE 25-30% RANGE. LATE MORNING WESTERLY  
SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WILL VEER TO A NORTHEAST  
DIRECTION BY 6-7 PM AND TO A SOUTHEAST DIRECTION BY 7 AM MONDAY.  
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL LOWER TO 300-500 FT BY THE LATE EVENING HOURS  
OF SUNDAY.  
 
GUSTY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS ON MONDAY, ALONG WITH AFTERNOON  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 25-30 RANGE, WILL LEAD TO MODERATE AND  
A SHORT PERIOD OF HIGH FIRE GROWTH CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY DURING  
THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE 30 FT WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 12-18 MPH  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 23-28%  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.  
RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE AROUND 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (30 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5700 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /32100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /70200 KNOT-FT/.  
GFDI................2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 4 8 8 10 12 18  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............55 58 60 62 62 63 62  
RH..............37 32 29 28 28 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 13 13 12 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW NW N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 9 10 10 9 9  
30 FT WND DIR...W NW NW N N N N  
30 FT WND SPD...11 10 10 10 10 10 10  
30 FT WND GST...16 16 15 16 16 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 4.1 4.6 4.9 5.7 5.2 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 15 14 14 15 14  
GFDI............2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/100032 47 60 67 70 68 59  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.  
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST UP TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (30 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........23 24 23 13 8 7 6 6 5 3 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............61 60 56 53 50 47 45 44 43 41 40 39  
RH..............28 31 35 39 44 47 51 49 53 57 57 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 13  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10  
30 FT WND DIR...N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E E  
30 FT WND SPD...9 9 9 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
30 FT WND GST...13 13 12 12 13 13 14 14 14 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE E E E E E E E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 12 12 13 15 15 15 15 15 15  
GFDI............2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
SDSPL KT-FT/100046 32 20 10 3 2 3 4 5 5 5 4  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.  
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (30 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
24 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 19 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (70800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 5 5 6 6 4 5 3 2 13 14 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............38 37 40 43 49 54 58 62 66 70 71 73  
RH..............62 66 59 59 52 48 44 41 37 34 32 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 11 12 12 12 13 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 16 16 17 18 18 18 19 18 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 11 12 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 14  
30 FT WND DIR...E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
30 FT WND SPD...10 11 13 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 16 16  
30 FT WND GST...16 17 18 20 20 21 22 22 23 24 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.7 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 22 21 22 20 18 20 21 22 22  
GFDI............1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 6 12 19 27 32 37 43 56 68 71 54  
 
 
FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWNA GORMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610735.0/OAX  
.DELDT 04/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHAWNALGORMAN@GMAIL.COM  
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