040
FXUS63 KOAX 071754
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1254 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS DECREASE AS A BOUNDARY SLIPS THROUGH THE
REGION TODAY, SHIFTING WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH. MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN TO THE FORECAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 80S.
- EXPECT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR AT LEAST A PORTION
OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
THE FORECAST PERIOD BEGINS WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES
AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN CANADA WITH NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE GREAT
PLAINS. EXPECT SUNNY SKIES TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
POSSIBLY A FEW HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST BY THIS EVENING.
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER 60S TO MID-70S ACROSS THE
REGION. THERE IS A WEAK BOUNDARY SLIDING SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON,
HAVING ALREADY MOVED THROUGH ORD, NORFOLK AND TEKAMAH. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA/SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AS THE BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO
SLIDE TO THE SOUTH. BEHIND IT, WINDS HAVE BECOME NORTHERLY AROUND 5-
10MPH. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, AN EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH SLIPS THROUGH THE REGION, POSSIBLY KICKING OFF A FEW
SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
GENOA TO OMAHA.
FRIDAY, NORTHWEST FLOW PERSISTS OVER THE GREAT PLAINS. MUCH OF THE
DAY WILL BE PLEASANT WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY
APPROACH 80 DEGREES. WINDS REMAIN NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY,
INCREASING LATE FRIDAY MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE MAINLY IN THE 40S.
SATURDAY, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST INTO THE
REGION. THIS WILL GIVE US A CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE
CANADIAN ROCKIES INTO IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA. MODELS HAVE A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH COMING ASHORE OVER THE PACNW BY SUNDAY EVENING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS NORTHERN MONTANA ON MONDAY,
SLIDING ACROSS THE DAKOTAS MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING, AND
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA/WESTERN IOWA BY LATE TUESDAY
MORNING. SUNDAY'S HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE 70S, WITH 80S EXPECTED MONDAY
AS WAA TAKES PLACE. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO
THE FORECAST TUESDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM, SO THIS
FORECAST MAY CHANGE AS WE COME CLOSER TO THE EVENT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SKIES WILL
BE MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON, WITH A BROKEN LAYER OF
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN 00Z. WEST WINDS AT KOMA/KLNK WILL
BECOME NORTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...ANW
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