763
FXUS63 KOAX 141706
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1206 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- STRETCH OF HOT WEATHER WILL LAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE UPCOMING
WEEK. HEAT INDICES WILL BE AROUND 100 AT TIMES.
- EXPECT OCCASIONAL MORNING PATCHY FOG THROUGH THIS WEEK.
- A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO RETURN NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO REIGN OVER THE REGION, KEEPING US WARM
AND DRY. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REACHED THE MID 80S AND LOW 90S
MONDAY AFTERNOON. LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE MID 60S. PATCHY
FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND
SOUTHWEST IOWA, ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS, WHERE CROSSOVER
TEMPERATURES ARE REACHED AND WINDS DIMINISH.
ANY FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD BURN OFF SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE
TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE SIMILAR TO MONDAY'S, PERHAPS A COUPLE DEGREES
WARMER IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S.
FRIDAY AND BEYOND...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RAMP UP AS WE HEAD INTO THE LATTER HALF OF
THE WEEK. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, OVERNIGHT
LOWS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE LOWER 70S, PROVIDING LITTLE
RELIEF FROM THE DAYTIME HEAT. WHILE CERTAINLY NOT A SLAM DUNK, HEAT
HEADLINES MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES FINALLY BEGIN TO CREEP BACK TOWARDS THE
FORECAST AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO
FLATTEN THE RIDGE AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WHILE
EXACT TIMING REMAINS UNCERTAIN, THIS SYSTEM WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA, BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND AT LEAST
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
BEHIND THE FRONT, NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW RETURNS, BRINGING
MORE ACTIVE WEATHER/RAIN CHANCES NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW TO SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUD DECK
WILL ADVANCE FROM THE SOUTH, LOWERING CEILINGS TO 3,000-5,000
FT THROUGH AT LEAST 00Z. LARGELY EXPECTING THIS TO REMAIN IN
VFR RANGE, BUT CAN'T RULE OUT A BRIEF DROP TO MVFR (10% CHANCE).
WINDS FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST REMAIN GENERALLY UNDER 12 KTS
THIS AFTERNOON, BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT, COULD SEE
SOME FOG DEVELOP BUT CONFIDENCE ON IF TERMINALS WILL BE IMPACTED
REMAINS TOO LOW FOR INCLUSION IN TAF WITH THIS ISSUANCE.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...CASTILLO
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