567
FXUS63 KOAX 091859
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
159 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ENJOY THE COOLER WEATHER TODAY AS HIGHS REACH THE 70S AND 80S.
- STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE ARRIVAL
OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 156 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF HEAT, RELIEF HAS ARRIVED. A COLD FRONT HAS
MOVED ACROSS THE REGION WITH SOME NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR BEHIND IT.
HIGHS TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE 70S AND 80S, MAKING IT A FAIRLY
PLEASANT DAY. A FEW MODELS STILL LEAVE LOW END POPS ALONG THE
KS/NE BORDER THIS AFTERNOON, BUT MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY
DRY. STILL A FEW CLOUDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWESTERN IOWA THIS AFTERNOON, WITH ADDITIONAL
CLOUDS MOVING INTO NORTHERN NEBRASKA EXPECTED TONIGHT. LIGHT
NORTH WINDS, CLEARING SKIES, RADIATIONAL COOLING, AND RECENT
RAINFALL MAY AID IN SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING, PARTICULARLY FOR AREAS ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER. THERE
IS A LITTLE LESS CERTAINTY IN FOG POTENTIAL IN EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA/SOUTHWESTERN IOWA, WHERE CLOUD COVER IS
EXPECTED TO HANG ON A LITTLE LATER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THURSDAY, AND PARTICULARLY FRIDAY, BRING A WARM UP AS A MID-LEVEL
RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE BIG HORNS (WY) AND GRADUALLY MAKES ITS WAY
ACROSS THE DAKOTAS AND NEBRASKA. EXPECT LOW 80S FOR THURSDAY HIGHS
AND LOW TO MID-80S ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE REGION
ON FRIDAY, BRINGING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
INSTABILITY AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE FACTORS AS THE FRONT AND A
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ARRIVE. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY ALONG WITH A POSSIBLE CONCERN FOR SOME FLOODING.
COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND, PARTICULARLY
FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S. LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 50S AND 60S EACH MORNING. PERIODIC SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1217 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
KOFK: VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON AS THE BACK EDGE OF
CLOUD COVER CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION.
EXPECT NORTHERLY WINDS TO EASE BACK SLIGHTLY AFTER DARK. A FEW
MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS RETURN TO THE AREA BY 01Z. WINDS BECOME
LIGHT AFTER 08Z ALONG WITH CLEARING SKIES. MAY SEE SOME PATCHY
FOG SOUTHEAST OF THE TERMINAL, BUT AT THE MOMENT, WE ARE NOT
ANTICIPATING FOG AT KOFK.
KOMA: CEILINGS HAVE BEGUN TO IMPROVE AT THE TERMINAL AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. EXPECT WINDS
REMAINING OUT OF THE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY, BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TOMORROW MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT WITH CALM TO
LIGHT WINDS AND NOT A LOT OF CLOUD COVER, THAT SOME PATCHY FOG
MAY DEVELOP NEAR AND PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL AROUND
SUNRISE. CONFIDENCE IN DEVELOPMENT AT THE TERMINAL IN FAIRLY
LOW, BUT WITH RECENT RAINFALL IN ADDITION TO LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL
CLOUD COVER AND THE LIGHT WINDS, CAN'T ENTIRELY RULE OUT A FEW
POCKETS.
KLNK: MVFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AT THE
TERMINAL. SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST, SO IN THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE, RAIN CHANCES SHOULD BE OVER FOR THE
TERMINAL. MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING CHANCES FOR A FEW SHOWERS TO
AREAS NEAR THE KANSAS-NEBRASKA BORDER, BUT AS OF NOW, THESE
CHANCES SHOULD STAY SOUTH. CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO
VFR BY MID- AFTERNOON. HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WINDS
BECOME LIGHT AND CLOUD COVER WILL DECREASE. RECENT RAIN IN THE
AREA ALONG WITH THE LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL BRING UP
A CONCERN FOR SOME PATCHY FOG ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN IOWA. THE
WORST OF IT IS EXPECTED TO BE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF THE
TERMINAL; HOWEVER, THERE IS A CONCERN THAT IF CLOUDS MOVE OUT A
LITTLE QUICKER, THAT THERE MAY BE A HIGHER FOG POTENTIAL,
PARTICULARLY AFTER 11Z.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...ANW
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