733
FXUS63 KOAX 191847
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
147 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EXPECT A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT NEAR A PASSING COLD FRONT.
- ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED,
PARTICULARLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINS WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
RETURNING TO THE LOW 70S TO END THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
THE COOLER AIR HAS ARRIVED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA AND
NORTHWESTERN IOWA. CURRENT TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO
MID-70S BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH 80S AND 90S AHEAD OF IT. A SHORTWAVE
WILL ENTER THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND LOW PRESSURE IS
CURRENTLY OVER IOWA. A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. ONGOING SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MARCH ACROSS
EASTERN NEBRASKA/WESTERN IOWA THIS AFTERNOON, EXTENDING FROM CERESCO
TO FORT CALHOUN AND ELK HORN (IA). A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE STARTING
TO POP UP NEAR THE FRONT IN AN AREA WITH SOME INSTABILITY. SHOULD
ANY OF THESE STORMS BE ABLE TO STRENGTHEN, THEY MAY PRODUCE SOME
GUSTY WINDS, HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. ADDITIONAL CHANCES (20-30%) FOR
SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.
A DISTURBANCE OVER THE BIG HORNS SUNDAY MORNING WILL PROGRESS EAST
ACROSS NORTHERN NEBRASKA AND THE DAKOTAS THROUGH THE DAY, BRINGING
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. EXPECTED HIGHS WILL BE VERY FALL-LIKE, TOPPING OUT IN THE
50S AND 60S. LOWS WILL BE A TAD CHILLY, PARTICULARLY TUESDAY
MORNING, DROPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S FOR SOME AND THE LOW 50S
FOR THOSE ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-80.
WEAK RIDGING SETS UP, MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS AND CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. EXPECT A BREAK FROM
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND THE BEGINNING OF A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.
BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE MID-60S FOR
MANY. THURSDAY HIGHS RETURN TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S FOR MANY, WITH A
FEW LOW 70S TO OUR WEST. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE ENTERS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY, BRINGING CHANCES FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
CEILINGS REMAIN AT MVFR AT THE TERMINALS AS STRATUS REMAINS OVER
THE REGION. A FEW SHOWERS AND WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION BETWEEN KJYR AND KHNR. AN ISOLATED
RUMBLE OF THUNDER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS MAY BE POSSIBLE.
LOWER CEILINGS PERSIST HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH
SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG. SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR KLNK/KOMA WITH THE BEST
CHANCES BETWEEN 02-05Z. KOFK MAY HAVE SOME IMPACTS DUE TO A
SHOWER OR STORM, MAINLY BETWEEN 08-10Z.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...ANW
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page