226
FXUS63 KOAX 050429
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1129 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF TURKEY CREEK
AND THE BIG BLUE RIVER. EXPIRATION TIMES VARY BETWEEN MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
- EXPECT A PERIOD OF DRYING OUT FOR AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT
WITH LAST WEEK'S FLOODS. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE
70S AND 80S ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1106 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE BIG BLUE AND TURKEY CREEK, WITH
THE CREST BEGINNING TO MOVE OUT OF BEATRICE. MOST GAGES ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY NIGHT.
IT WAS A ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL, DRY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURED REMAINED OVER
THE REGION. A QUICK GLANCE AT VISIBLE SATELLITE REVEALED A FEW WISPS
OF CLOUDS OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON, OTHERWISE SUNNY
SKIES PREVAILED. TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN PUSHED INTO THE MID 70S BY
LATE AFTERNOON.
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
WITH HIGHS REACHING AT LEAST THE 70S THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A THERMAL
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TUESDAY, WARMING US
A FEW EXTRA DEGREES, INTO THE LOW 80S. WHILE THERE IS STILL A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY, THE OVERALL FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
WEEKEND.
LONGER RANGE MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO HINT AT A POTENT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS LATE NEXT WEEKEND. IF THIS
OCCURS, WE CAN EXPECT NOTABLE WARMING AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM,
WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS, FOLLOWED BY COOLER
TEMPERATURES AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. BUT AGAIN,
THAT'S LOOKING PRETTY FAR INTO THE FUTURE WHERE FORECAST DETAILS
ARE STILL QUITE UNCERTAIN.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
PATCHY FOG HAS DEVELOPED TONIGHT IN RIVER VALLEYS AND LOW-
LYING AREAS, WITH A 20% PROBABILITY OF BRINGING MVFR CONDITIONS
TO THE TERMINALS. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE FAVORED THROUGH
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT BEFORE
BECOMING SOUTHERLY AND INCREASING AFTER SUNRISE. WINDS SPEEDS
MAY REACH 12 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS AT KOFK, WHILE SPEEDS
WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 7-11 KT RANGE SOUTHWARD TOWARDS
KOMA AND KLNK.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...WOOD
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