239
FXUS63 KOAX 051732
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1232 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF TURKEY CREEK
AND THE BIG BLUE RIVER. EXPIRATION TIMES VARY BETWEEN MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
- EXPECT A PERIOD OF DRYING OUT FOR AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT
WITH LAST WEEK'S FLOODS. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND HIGHS IN THE
70S AND 80S ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1106 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE BIG BLUE AND TURKEY CREEK, WITH
THE CREST BEGINNING TO MOVE OUT OF BEATRICE. MOST GAGES ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY NIGHT.
IT WAS A ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL, DRY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURED REMAINED OVER
THE REGION. A QUICK GLANCE AT VISIBLE SATELLITE REVEALED A FEW WISPS
OF CLOUDS OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON, OTHERWISE SUNNY
SKIES PREVAILED. TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN PUSHED INTO THE MID 70S BY
LATE AFTERNOON.
MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
WITH HIGHS REACHING AT LEAST THE 70S THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A THERMAL
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TUESDAY, WARMING US
A FEW EXTRA DEGREES, INTO THE LOW 80S. WHILE THERE IS STILL A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW WARM AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY, THE OVERALL FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
WEEKEND.
LONGER RANGE MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO HINT AT A POTENT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS LATE NEXT WEEKEND. IF THIS
OCCURS, WE CAN EXPECT NOTABLE WARMING AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM,
WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS, FOLLOWED BY COOLER
TEMPERATURES AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. BUT AGAIN,
THAT'S LOOKING PRETTY FAR INTO THE FUTURE WHERE FORECAST DETAILS
ARE STILL QUITE UNCERTAIN.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD AT THE TERMINALS.
EXPECT SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS AT KLNK/KOFK THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
WINDS DECREASING HEADING INTO THE EVENING. SOME LOW-LEVEL WIND
SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KG
AVIATION...ANW
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