445
FXUS63 KOAX 051812
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
112 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND SOME
BREEZY CONDITIONS.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST INTO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
- A FEW SMALL (10-30%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
EVENING/NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
THE FORECAST STARTS OUT WITH NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS AND GREAT PLAINS. EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
REGION WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID-70S. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY FOR THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
WARMER AIR GETS USHERED INTO THE REGION AS A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE
DAKOTAS ON TUESDAY. SUMMER-LIKE TEMPERATURES RETURN BRIEFLY,
REACHING THE UPPER 70S ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN IOWA AND THE LOW
TO MID-80S FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA.
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY MORNING, ALLOWING
AREAS TO CONTINUE TO RECOVER FROM LAST WEEK'S FLOODING. A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE REGION DURING THE DAY, BRINGING SOME
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION (70S). A FEW MODELS HAVE
STARTED SHOWING A LOW-END POTENTIAL FOR SOME RAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO HOLD OFF ON ADDING A
MENTION FOR NOW, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO NEED TO MONITOR ANY CHANGES
FOR THE NEED FOR A POSSIBLE INCREASE IN POPS. THURSDAY ALSO BRINGS A
CHANCE (20-30%) OF A FEW SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
A RIDGE SHIFTS EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED, PARTICULARLY SATURDAY WITH HIGHS
RETURNING TO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S FOR MANY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD AT THE TERMINALS.
EXPECT SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS AT KLNK/KOFK THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
WINDS DECREASING HEADING INTO THE EVENING. SOME LOW-LEVEL WIND
SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...ANW
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