579
FXUS63 KOAX 052328
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
628 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND SOME
BREEZY CONDITIONS.
- DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST INTO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
- A FEW SMALL (10-30%) CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
EVENING/NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
THE FORECAST STARTS OUT WITH NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS AND GREAT PLAINS. EXPECT A BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
REGION WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID-70S. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY FOR THE NORTHERN AND
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
WARMER AIR GETS USHERED INTO THE REGION AS A WARM FRONT CROSSES THE
DAKOTAS ON TUESDAY. SUMMER-LIKE TEMPERATURES RETURN BRIEFLY,
REACHING THE UPPER 70S ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN IOWA AND THE LOW
TO MID-80S FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NEBRASKA.
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY MORNING, ALLOWING
AREAS TO CONTINUE TO RECOVER FROM LAST WEEK'S FLOODING. A COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE REGION DURING THE DAY, BRINGING SOME
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION (70S). A FEW MODELS HAVE
STARTED SHOWING A LOW-END POTENTIAL FOR SOME RAIN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HAVE OPTED TO HOLD OFF ON ADDING A
MENTION FOR NOW, BUT WILL CONTINUE TO NEED TO MONITOR ANY CHANGES
FOR THE NEED FOR A POSSIBLE INCREASE IN POPS. THURSDAY ALSO BRINGS A
CHANCE (20-30%) OF A FEW SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
A RIDGE SHIFTS EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WARMER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED, PARTICULARLY SATURDAY WITH HIGHS
RETURNING TO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S FOR MANY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 628 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WILL WEAKEN THIS EVENING.
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY WINDS ALOFT INCREASE OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST CREATING LLWS STARTING AROUND 06Z AT KOFK, 09Z AT
KOMA, AND 10Z AT KLNK. THIS WILL RESOLVE BY 15-16Z AS WINDS
ALOFT WEAKEN BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
SHIFTING TO SOUTHWESTERLY TUESDAY MORNING.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...MCCOY
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