543  
FNUS71 KOKX 200837  
FWSOKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JENNINGS FIRE...ORANGE COUNTY, NYS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  
337 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 EST ON NOVEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
631-924-0383  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN UNDER  
10 MPH TODAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 60 PERCENT  
TODAY. A WETTING RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND  
THURSDAY.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.  
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
ADI.................3 TO 18.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 66 58 54 50 50 54 65 72 75 77 78  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............46 41 43 46 49 52 54 56 56 56 54 53  
RH..............89 85 86 76 71 63 59 55 57 57 61 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..000 000 020 040 060 080 100 120 140 130 120 120  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 2 4 4 5 5 6 6 6  
ADI.............3 4 5 6 8 8 8 9 13 16 18 14  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY OVERNIGHT, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
ADI.................5 TO 23.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........83 85 81 76 82 85 87 91 94 97 98 97  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 40 40 40 70 70 70 100 100  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............51 49 48 48 48 48 47 47 46 46 45 45  
RH..............71 77 80 80 83 86 93 96 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..120 120 110 120 120 110 110 100 100 010 340 020  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 10 11 13 14 18 18 18 18 18  
ADI.............9 5 7 11 15 17 18 18 17 16 17 23  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 90 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.  
RH..................MIN 89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
ADI.................18 TO 42.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........96 96 92 92 93 93 92 90 90 90 90 91  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............100 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............44 47 42 42 42 42 46 47 46 45 44 43  
RH..............100 89 100 100 100 100 100 96 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..030 040 030 020 010 010 000 000 350 340 330 320  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
ADI.............30 37 40 42 42 41 39 35 29 23 18 19  
 

 
FORECASTER...BR  
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON FISHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2426360.4/OKX  
.DELDT 11/20/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SPENCER.MORRISSEY@DEC.NY.GOV,SFISHER@ORANGECOUNTYGOV.COM,GRIGGSBY.COWART@DEC.NY.GOV  
 
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