019  
FNUS71 KOKX 200957  
FWSOKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JENNINGS CREEK FIRE...NYS IMT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  
457 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EST ON NOVEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
631-924-0383  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY. WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN UNDER  
10 MPH TODAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 60 PERCENT  
TODAY. A WETTING RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND  
THURSDAY.  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT FORECAST START...MAX 56.  
RH..................87 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.  
ADI.................3 TO 19.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 86 84 78 72 67 66 67 72 79 81 82  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............46 42 44 47 49 52 54 56 56 56 55 53  
RH..............87 82 83 75 70 63 58 56 55 56 59 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..010 000 020 040 060 070 100 120 140 130 130 120  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 4 2 2 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6  
ADI.............3 4 5 7 8 8 9 10 14 18 19 15  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
OVERNIGHT, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 9  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
ADI.................6 TO 41.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........82 85 82 77 82 85 87 91 94 97 98 97  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 40 40 40 70 70 70 100 100  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............51 50 49 49 49 48 48 47 47 47 46 44  
RH..............70 71 76 79 82 83 88 95 96 97 96 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..120 120 120 120 120 120 110 110 100 020 350 020  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 10 12 14 16 18 18 18 18 18  
ADI.............9 6 7 11 17 27 36 41 34 23 17 22  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 90 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.  
RH..................MIN 95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.  
ADI.................19 TO 45.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........96 97 93 92 93 94 93 91 91 90 90 91  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............100 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............43 45 41 42 45 46 46 46 46 45 45 43  
RH..............100 98 100 100 100 98 98 98 98 100 98 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..030 040 030 020 010 010 000 000 350 340 330 320  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 19 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
ADI.............33 42 45 45 45 44 41 36 30 23 20 19  
 
 
FORECASTER...DS  
REQUESTED BY...JIM LEVANDOWSKI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2426875.3/OKX  
.DELDT 11/20/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NYSIMTSITL@GMAIL.COM  
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