954  
FNUS71 KOKX 202006  
FWSOKX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JENNINGS FIRE...ORANGE COUNTY, NYS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY  
306 PM EST WED NOV 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 EST ON NOVEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOST OF THIS EVENING. THE  
WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND MINIMUM RH VALUES  
WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 60 PERCENT. A WETTING RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED LATER  
TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY, WITH LIGHT RAIN LIKELY LINGERING INTO THURSDAY  
NIGHT. THE WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY LATER TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY  
MORNING.  
 
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
LATE IN THE EVENING. RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT FORECAST START...MIN 41.  
RH..................66 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5  
TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
ADI.................4 TO 24.  
 
TIME (EST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........82 82 74 66 74 71 85 90 93 93 96 96 96  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 90 90 90 100 100  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............53 51 50 50 49 48 48 48 47 47 46 46 45  
RH..............66 71 74 74 80 83 83 83 86 86 93 93 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..140 130 120 120 120 110 110 110 110 090 050 030 030  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7  
ADI.............12 4 5 7 9 15 21 24 20 13 8 10 14  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN.  
CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.  
RH..................MIN 92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................19 TO 35.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........95 95 91 91 94 94 96 96 96 96 97 94  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 90 90 90  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............44 44 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 43 42 41  
RH..............96 93 96 96 96 96 96 96 96 93 93 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..020 020 020 020 020 010 010 000 350 340 330 320  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 8 8 8  
ADI.............19 24 29 32 31 28 26 27 29 31 33 35  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT DECREASING TO 70 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.  
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
ADI.................0 TO 32.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........97 97 95 94 96 95 97 96 93 90 88 88  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RS RS RS RS RS RS SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............90 80 80 80 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............40 39 38 37 37 37 36 36 36 35 35 34  
RH..............92 92 92 96 92 89 89 89 85 89 85 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..300 290 280 260 250 250 240 240 230 230 230 220  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
ADI.............32 22 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 

 
FORECASTER...JE  
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON FISHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2426360.4/OKX  
.DELDT 11/14/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SFISHER@ORANGECOUNTYGOV.COM,SPENCER.MORRISSEY@DEC.NY.GOV,GRIGGSBY.COWART@DEC.NY.GOV  
 
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